Exploratory analysis of the association of depth of response and survival in patients with metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer treated with a targeted therapy or immunotherapy

Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) permits rapid evaluation of new therapeutic strategies in cancer. However, RECIST does not capture the heterogeneity of response in highly active therapies. Depth of tumor response may provide a more granular view of response. We explored the association between, depth of response (DepOR), with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for patients with NSCLC being treated with an ALK inhibitor (ALKi) or an anti-PD-1 antibody (Ab). Experimental arms from two randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of an ALKi and two RCTs of an anti-PD-1 Ab were separately pooled. Patient responses were grouped into DepOR 'quartiles' by percentage of maximal tumor shrinkage (Q1 = 1%-25%, Q2 = 26%-50%, Q3 = 51%-75%, and Q4 = 76%-100%), Q0 had no shrinkage. We carried out a retrospective exploratory responder analysis to evaluate the association between DepOR and OS or PFS using hazard ratios (HR) generated by the Cox proportional hazards model. In the pooled ALK analysis there were 12, 39, 70, 144, and 40 patients in quartiles 0-4, respectively. The DepOR versus PFS/OS analyses HR were: 0.19/0.94 for Q1 0.11/0.56 for Q2, 0.05/0.28 for Q3, and 0.03/0.05 for Q4. In the PD-1 trials within quartiles 0-4 there were 168, 70, 44, 45, and 28 patients, respectively. The DepOR versus PFS/OS analyses HR were 0.3/0.52 for Q1, 0.22/0.47 for Q2, 0.09/0.07 for Q3, and 0.07/0.14 for Q4. Our analysis suggests a greater DepOR is associated with longer PFS and OS for patients receiving ALKi or anti-PD1 Ab. Overall, this suggests that DepOR may provide an additional outcome measure for clinical trials, and may allow better comparisons of treatment activity.