Landslide displacement prediction technique using improved neuro-fuzzy system

Landslides are one of the most destructive forms of natural hazards, which cause serious threat to life and properties. Landslide monitoring and perdition of future landslide behavior is an important aspect of disaster mitigation, as it helps to issue early warnings and adopt suitable control measures in time. This paper proposes a technique, landslide displacement prediction using recently proposed extreme learning adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ELANFIS) with empirical mode decomposition (EMD) technique. ELANFIS reduces the computational complexity of conventional ANFIS by incorporating the theoretical idea of extreme learning machines (ELM). The nonlinear original landslide displacement series first converted into a limited number of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and one residue. Then, the decomposed data are predicted using ELANFIS algorithm. Final prediction is obtained by summation of outputs of all ELANFIS submodels. The performances of the proposed technique are tested in Baishuihe and Liangshuijing landslides. The results show that ELANFIS with EMD model outperforms state of art methods in terms of prediction accuracy and generalization performance.