Positive Outcome Expectations and Tobacco Product Use Behaviors in Youth

Background: Outcome expectations are an important determinant of health behavior, according to Social Cognitive Theory; yet recent literature has not examined the relationship between outcome expectations and tobacco product use (e.g., use of cigarettes, cigars, hookah, e-cigarettes, or smokeless tobacco). Objectives: This study examines if outcome expectations at baseline, among an adolescent cohort of never users of tobacco products, predicts tobacco product use (i.e., cigarettes, hookah, e-cigarette, cigar, or smokeless tobacco) or susceptibility to use at 6-month follow-up. Methods: Data are from the first two waves of a Texas cohort study of urban middle school and high school students, which were collected in 2014-2015. Logistic regression analyses were used; these adjusted for socio-demographic variables. Analyses were limited to never users of any tobacco product at baseline (n = 1999, N = 357,035). Results: Outcome expectations related to stress relief predicted ever use of (AOR: 4.21, 95% CI 1.84-9.60) and susceptibility (AOR: 2.97, 95% CI 1.01-8.70) to tobacco products. Additional outcome expectations (e.g., relaxation, concentration, slimness, etc.) were not associated with ever use or susceptibility. Conclusions/Importance: This study extends the literature regarding outcome expectations among adolescents regarding tobacco products. It is important that interventions offer alternative solutions to stress relief that do not include tobacco products.