Journal
SCIENCE
Volume 357, Issue 6351, Pages 588-590Publisher
AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/science.aan2506
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Funding
- ERC [291152]
- Austrian Science Funds (FWF) as part of the Doctoral Programme on Water Resource Systems [W1219-N22]
- EU [603587]
- Russian Science Foundation [14-17-00155]
- European Research Council (ERC) [291152] Funding Source: European Research Council (ERC)
- Russian Science Foundation [17-17-00013] Funding Source: Russian Science Foundation
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A warming climate is expected to have an impact on the magnitude and timing of river floods; however, no consistent large-scale climate change signal in observed flood magnitudes has been identified so far. We analyzed the timing of river floods in Europe over the past five decades, using a pan-European database from 4262 observational hydrometric stations, and found clear patterns of change in flood timing. Warmer temperatures have led to earlier spring snowmelt floods throughout northeastern Europe; delayed winter storms associated with polar warming have led to later winter floods around the North Sea and some sectors of the Mediterranean coast; and earlier soil moisture maxima have led to earlier winter floods in western Europe. Our results highlight the existence of a clear climate signal in flood observations at the continental scale.
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