Journal
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
Volume 95, Issue -, Pages 61-70Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.04.015
Keywords
Heat vulnerability; Spatiotemporal modelling; Climate change; Demographic change; Regional planning; Urbanization
Categories
Funding
- Simon Fraser University
- Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions
- National Science Foundation [1541136]
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development [P2C HD041025]
- Directorate For Engineering
- Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1541136] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
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Excess mortality can be caused by extreme hot weather events, which are increasing in severity and frequency in Canada due to climate change. Individual and social vulnerability factors influence the mortality risk associated with a given heat exposure. We constructed heat vulnerability indices using census data from 2006 to 2011 in Canada, developed a novel design to compare spatiotemporal changes of heat vulnerability, and identified locations that may be increasingly vulnerable to heat. The results suggest that 1) urban areas in Canada are particularly vulnerable to heat, 2) suburban areas and satellite cities around major metropolitan areas show the greatest increases in vulnerability, and 3) heat vulnerability changes are driven primarily by changes in the density of older ages and infants. Our approach is applicable to heat vulnerability analyses in other countries.
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