Journal
IFAC PAPERSONLINE
Volume 51, Issue 30, Pages 715-720Publisher
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.11.208
Keywords
decision support systems; solar energy; transition; Netherlands; fuzzy cognitive maps; policy
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Funding
- H2020 European Commission Project Transitions pathways and risk analysis for climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies-TRANSrisk [642260]
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Despite recent growth in respective investments, the Netherlands is not expected to achieve its near-term renewable energy targets, indicating that policy design tends to overlook specific uncertainties and implementation risks. In the aim of supporting policymaking towards a low-carbon transition of the Dutch power sector with a focus on solar power, this study employs a stakeholder-driven approach based on fuzzy cognitive maps, while considering the notion of time. Results appear to strongly depend on expectations of future socioeconomic developments and show that stakeholders favour soft measures over financial incentives. (C) 2018, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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