Journal
3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ADVANCES IN ENERGY RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT ENGINEERING
Volume 113, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
IOP PUBLISHING LTD
DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/113/1/012083
Keywords
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Funding
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [71673161]
- Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Business Unit [512015Y-4002]
- Youth Talent Fund of Beijing [512016Z-4983]
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Oil pipelines network is one of the most important facilities of energy transportation. But oil pipelines network accident may result in serious disasters. Some analysis models for these accidents have been established mainly based on three methods, including event-tree, accident simulation and Bayesian network. Among these methods, Bayesian network is suitable for probabilistic analysis. But not all the important influencing factors are considered and the deployment rule of the factors has not been established. This paper proposed a probabilistic analysis model of oil pipelines network based on Bayesian network. Most of the important influencing factors, including the key environment condition and emergency response are considered in this model. Moreover, the paper also introduces a deployment rule for these factors. The model can be used in probabilistic analysis and sensitive analysis of oil pipelines network accident.
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