Journal
5TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH (ICEER 2018)
Volume 153, Issue -, Pages 186-190Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2018.10.057
Keywords
decomposition analysis; CO2 emission; ASEAN; IPAT
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Funding
- Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA), Philippines
- King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi, Thailand
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Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is one of the most diverse regions. 3.6% of global greenhouse-gas emissions was released in 2013 and is expected to rise substantially due to increasing population and income. Understanding how greenhouse-gas emissions in the region have evolved is an important first step to develop appropriate policies and this paper analyses the historical increase in CO2 emissions over the period 1971/2013, based on IPAT/Kaya approach combined with Variance analysis technique. Main findings indicate that: (1) population growth and increased income per capita have the largest contribution to emission growth; (2) fossil fuels increasingly become the dominant fuel and reversing this is a challenging task; (3) Energy efficiency gains have been achieved but it is the only factor that reduced emissions; and (4) the effect of changes in carbon intensity of fossil energy was negligible. These results should help Governments frame effective policies. (C) 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
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