Journal
SPATIAL AND SPATIO-TEMPORAL EPIDEMIOLOGY
Volume 28, Issue -, Pages 33-42Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.sste.2018.11.002
Keywords
Bovine tuberculosis; Northern Ireland; SaTScan; Chronic; Cluster; Moran's I
Categories
Funding
- Department of Agriculture, Environment and Rural Affairs (DAERA) [48005 (122035): 15/3/10]
Ask authors/readers for more resources
Despite a state-led eradication programme, bovine tuberculosis (bTB) remains endemic in Northern Ireland (NI). Of particular concern are chronic prolonged and recurrent bTB breakdowns, which represent significant financial and administrative burdens. However, little is known regarding the spatiotemporal distribution of chronic breakdowns in NI. We therefore analysed both the spatial and spatiotemporal distributions of chronic bTB breakdowns between 2004 and 2014. Significantly positive values for Moran's Index of spatial autocorrelation were found, and Local Moran's I clustering was employed to assess for spatial associations in the number and prevalence of chronic bTB breakdowns across NI. Additional spatio-temporal analysis using SaTScan showed that the burden of chronic bTB infection tends to be found where bTB levels are already high. However, a novel hotspot was revealed wherein the prevalence of chronic breakdowns was higher than expected; this should be the subject of follow-up surveillance. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Authors
I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.
Reviews
Recommended
No Data Available