Journal
INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS FOR ENERGY TRANSITIONS
Volume 158, Issue -, Pages 3768-3773Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2019.01.878
Keywords
Energy conservation; Health damage; Bottom-up model; Co-benefits
Categories
Funding
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [71704187]
- Beijing Social Science Funding [17GLC045]
- China Petroleum University Funding [2462016YJRC008]
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The paper considers the health damage effect attributed to energy consumption and local pollutant emissions, which has been long ignored because of cost. The study bases on national level and conducts a four-scenario analysis, including Reference Scenario (REF), Deep Decarbonization Pathway Scenario (DDP), End-of-Pipe Control Scenario (EPC), and Co-Control Scenario (COC). By applying China-MAPLE model and CV method, the study calculates the future emissions of air pollutants in China and its health damage. Results show that in COC scenario, the emissions of SO2, NOx and PM2.5 will drop to 1.76, 8.43 and 6.43 million tons respectively in 2030, and the economic losses caused by PM-SO2, PM-NOx and PM2.5 emissions are 0.159 %, 0.025% and 1.604% of China's 2010 GDP respectively, and in 2050, the proportions drop to 0.098%, 0.014% and 1.128%. The results provide a reference for the government to formulate policy. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
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