4.7 Article

Volatility spillovers between crude oil and Chinese sectoral equity markets: Evidence from a frequency dynamics perspective

Journal

ENERGY ECONOMICS
Volume 80, Issue -, Pages 995-1009

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2019.02.019

Keywords

Frequency volatility spillovers; Structural breaks; Oil market; Stock market

Categories

Funding

  1. NSFC [71722015]

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We examine the frequency dynamics of volatility spillovers between crude oil and China's stock markets in a spectral representation framework of generalized forecast error variance decomposition using sectoral stock indices data. We find evidence of total volatility spillover driven mainly by short-term spillovers. The net spillovers of the oil market are almost all positive and dominated by short-ter.m components, although the spillover during China's 2015 financial crisis is negative and attributable to long-term components. In addition, there exists heterogeneity in net pairwise (frequency) spillovers between the oil and sectoral stock markets. Moreover, structural breaks in volatilities appear to be a significant feature of volatility spillovers. Finally, frequency spillovers in our system can predict future stock market volatility. These results have economic implications for investors and policymakers. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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