4.5 Article

Current and Future Variations of the Monsoons of the Americas in a Warming Climate

Journal

CURRENT CLIMATE CHANGE REPORTS
Volume 5, Issue 3, Pages 125-144

Publisher

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00135-w

Keywords

North American monsoon; South American monsoon; Global warming; Climate change

Funding

  1. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce [NA14OAR4320106]
  2. CNPq
  3. FAPESP-CLIMAX
  4. Programa de Apoyos para la Superacion del Personal Academico de la UNAM (PASPA)
  5. Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program (SERDP) [RC-2205]
  6. U.S. Departments of Defense and Energy
  7. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  8. [NSF-AGS-1505198]

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Purpose of Review Understanding the details of the impact of global warming on the North and South America monsoons is of key importance for the well-being of a great number of inhabitants of the Americas. This review deals with the latest research on this topic. Recent Findings Combined multiple datasets, high-resolution global climate models and regional convection-permitting models provide new insights on the evolution of the North and South American monsoons under global warming, suggesting a precipitation reduction in the North American Monsoon, the southward shift of the core of the South American Monsoon, and precipitation reduction in the Amazon Basin. These changes are accompanied by increased frequency of extreme precipitation events in both monsoon regions. Summary Uncertainty in the response mechanisms to global warming remains high, especially for the North American monsoon. To make progress, the evaluation of local and remote drives is critical, for which we need a combined use of regional and global models.

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