4.3 Article

Estimation of the linear mixed integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model

Journal

JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL COMPUTATION AND SIMULATION
Volume 87, Issue 8, Pages 1541-1558

Publisher

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/00949655.2016.1277425

Keywords

Fixed effects; Newton Raphson; Integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process; random effects; repeated measures

Funding

  1. Medical Research Council [MR/J013773/1]
  2. National Institute for Health Research [NF-SI-0611-10168]
  3. MRC [MR/J013773/1] Funding Source: UKRI
  4. Medical Research Council [MR/J013773/1] Funding Source: researchfish
  5. National Institute for Health Research [NF-SI-0611-10168, NF-SI-0616-10111] Funding Source: researchfish

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The linear mixed model with an added integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (IOU) process (linear mixed IOU model) allows for serial correlation and estimation of the degree of derivative tracking. It is rarely used, partly due to the lack of available software. We implemented the linear mixed IOU model in Stata and using simulations we assessed the feasibility of fitting the model by restricted maximum likelihood when applied to balanced and unbalanced data. We compared different (1) optimization algorithms, (2) parameterizations of the IOU process, (3) data structures and (4) randomeffects structures. Fitting the model was practical and feasible when applied to large and moderately sized balanced datasets (20,000 and 500 observations), and large unbalanced datasets with (non-informative) dropout and intermittent missingness. Analysis of a real dataset showed that the linear mixed IOU model was a better fit to the data than the standard linear mixed model (i. e. independent within-subject errors with constant variance).

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