Journal
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 30, Issue -, Pages 69-75Publisher
ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.03.025
Keywords
Consumption capital asset pricing model; Conditioning variable; Tail risk; Value at Risk
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I examine if the market tail risk can be the conditioning information for consumption-based asset pricing model. While cay, Lettau and Ludvigson's (2001) conditioning variable, no longer works in the extended sample period, I find that Value at Risk (VaR) is the conditioning variable that enables consumption CAPM to explain substantial variation of cross-section of stock returns. Asset's riskiness is determined by the correlation with consumption growth conditional on the tail risk of the aggregate market.
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