4.5 Article

Land-use changes across distant places: design of a telecoupled agent-based model

Journal

JOURNAL OF LAND USE SCIENCE
Volume 14, Issue 3, Pages 191-209

Publisher

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/1747423X.2019.1687769

Keywords

Telecoupling; agent-based model; agricultural trade; land-use change; local land-use decision; land system

Funding

  1. National Science Foundation [DEB-1518518]
  2. Michigan AgBioResearch
  3. Fundacao de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado de Sao Paulo [14/50628-9, 15/25892-7]
  4. UK Natural Environment Research Council via Belmont Forum CRA13 Type 2 project, 'Food Security and Land Use: The Telecoupling Challenge' [NE/M021335/1]
  5. NERC [NE/M021335/1] Funding Source: UKRI
  6. Natural Environment Research Council [NE/M021335/1] Funding Source: researchfish
  7. Fundacao de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado de Sao Paulo (FAPESP) [15/25892-7] Funding Source: FAPESP

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Land-use changes across distant places are increasingly affected by international agricultural trade, but most of the impacts and feedback remain unknown. The telecoupling framework - an analytical tool for examining socioeconomic and environmental interactions over distances - can be used to conceptualize the impacts of agricultural trade on land-use change and feedbacks across borders of importing and exporting countries and across spatio-temporal scales of land systems. We apply the framework to design an agent-based model (TeleABM) that represents land-use changes in telecoupled systems to investigate how local land-use changes are affected by flows. The Brazil-China telecoupled soybean system is used as a demonstration. With examples of research questions, we explore the possible applications of this model for assessing farm-level income, fertilizer usage, deforestation, and agricultural intensification, as a tool to quantify socio-ecological impacts between distant places and holistically inform sustainable land-practices across system boundaries.

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