4.4 Article

Change in time preferences: Evidence from the Great East Japan Earthquake

Journal

JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION
Volume 166, Issue -, Pages 239-245

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2019.08.013

Keywords

Natural disasters; Preference stability; Time preference; Present bias

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Funding

  1. Japan Society for the Promotion of Science [14J07655, 15H05728]
  2. Suntory Foundation [302]
  3. Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [14J07655] Funding Source: KAKEN

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This study examines whether individuals' time preferences are affected by the damage caused by the tsunami resulting from the Great East Japan Earthquake of 2011 using panel surveys before and after the earthquake. When the change in time preferences is measured using the (beta, delta) model, present bias tendency increases (shrinking beta), although there is no statistically significant change in the time discount factor (delta) for those affected by the tsunami. The hyperbolic discounting dummy also shows an increase in time inconsistency. This change persists even five years after the earthquake. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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