4.8 Article Proceedings Paper

An approach to identify emergent topics of technological convergence: A case study for 3D printing

Journal

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
Volume 146, Issue -, Pages 723-732

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2018.12.015

Keywords

Technological Convergence (TC); Emergent Topics (ETopics); Emergent Terms (ETs); International Patent Classification (IPC); 3D printing

Funding

  1. General Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China, China [71774012, 71373019, 71673024]
  2. US National Science Foundation [1759960, 1645237]
  3. Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie
  4. SBE Off Of Multidisciplinary Activities [1645237] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

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Technological Convergence (TC) reflects developmental processes that overlap different technological fields. It holds promise to yield outcomes that exceed the sum of its subparts. Measuring emergence for a TC environment can inform innovation management. This paper suggests a novel approach to identify Emergent Topics (ETopics) of the TC environment within a target technology domain using patent information. A non-TC environment is constructed as a comparison group. First, TC is operationalized as a co-classification of a given patent into multiple 4-digit IPC codes (>= 2-IPC). We take a set of patents and parse those into three sub-datasets based on the number of IPC codes assigned 1-IPC (Non-TC), 2-IPC and >= 3-IPC. Second, a method is applied to identify emergent terms (ETs) and calculate emergence score for each term in each sub-dataset. Finally, we cluster those ETs using Principal Components Analysis (PCA) to generate a factor map with ETopics. A convergent domain 3D printing - is selected to present the illustrative results. Results affirm that for 3D printing, emergent topics in TC patents are distinctly different from those in non-TC patents. The number of ETs in the TC environment is increasing annually.

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