Journal
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING
Volume 36, Issue 1, Pages 7-14Publisher
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.03.015
Keywords
Evaluation; Forecasting accuracy; Kaggle; M competitions; Neural networks; Prediction intervals; Probability scoring; Time series
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Forecasting competitions are now so widespread that it is often forgotten how controversial they were when first held, and how influential they have been over the years. I briefly review the history of forecasting competitions, and discuss what we have learned about their design and implementation, and what they can tell us about forecasting. I also provide a few suggestions for potential future competitions, and for research about forecasting based on competitions. (C) 2019 International Institute of Forecasters. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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