Journal
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
Volume 142, Issue -, Pages 936-945Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.09.117
Keywords
Air pollution; Traffic control effect; Davis method; Odd-and-even license plate model; Environmental benefit
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Nowadays, air pollution has become a major challenge in urban management despite rapid economic development. Meanwhile, vehicle exhaust has gradually turned into the main source of air pollution in the city. To reduce air pollution, many measures have been taken including the odd-and-even license plate rule in some cities. However, it is difficult to evaluate the effectiveness of those measures. In view of this, based on the Davis method, this article has taken Beijing as its subject and built an odd-and-even license plate model by a probabilistic modelling method and the analysis of means, thus to quantify the pollution caused by vehicle exhaust emissions and the actual effect of the license plate limitation rule. This paper also examines the relationship between the license plate limitation rule and urban air pollution control and to see whether, or not, the rule exerts a positive influence on air pollution control. The results showed that the odd-and-even license plate rule has positive impacts on air pollution control in the short-term; however, the influence of the limitation policy gradually diminishes and disappears as the overall number of cars increases. Therefore, it is suggested to tackle air pollution in a broader and more effective way. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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