Journal
EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Volume 26, Issue 5, Pages 1049-1052Publisher
CENTERS DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION
DOI: 10.3201/eid2605.200146
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Funding
- National Institutes of Health [U01 GM087719]
- Investissement d'Avenir program
- Laboratoire d'Excellence Integrative Biology of Emerging Infectious Diseases program [ANR-10-LABX-62-IBEID]
- European Union V.E.O project
- Open Fund of Key Laboratory of Urban Land Resources Monitoring and Simulation, Ministry of Land and Resources [KF-2019-04-034]
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [61773091]
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On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
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