Journal
CHINA ECONOMIC REVIEW
Volume 63, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2020.101519
Keywords
Off-farm employment; Grain production; Grain-crop structure
Categories
Funding
- National Social Science Fund of China: research on the organic link between small farmers `Production and Modern Agriculture Based on Diversified Service System' [19BGL151]
- National Natural Science Foundation of China: Empirical Research of Agricultural Supply Chain Finance: Mechanism, Influence and Policy Choices [71603141]
- Theoretical Mechanism and Empirical Tests of the Effect of Social Network on Intergenerational Mobility: Based on the Perspective of Clan Organization [71903165]
- China Postdoctoral Science Foundation: Public Educational Expenditure, Allocation Structure and Intergenerational Mobility-Based on Machine Learning Method [2019M662247]
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How does off-farm employment affect grain production? Previous research findings are inconsistent. This paper provides a general theoretical framework to explain the effect of off-farm employment on grain production and consider that the effect is non-liner. The empirical results show that off-farm employment decreases grain production and insignificantly changes grain crop structure. Importantly, we find an inverted-U correlation between off-farm employment and grain production, meaning that off-farm employment will increase grain production when the off-farm labor supply is relatively low and will decrease grain production when the off-farm labor supply is relatively high. Further, we investigate the heterogeneity of the causal effect in the destinations of off-farm employment, household's land scale, land features, household location, and household aging.
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