Journal
ENTROPY
Volume 22, Issue 11, Pages -Publisher
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/e22111228
Keywords
earthquakes; avalanches; natural time analysis; Olami-Feder-Christensen model; nowcasting earthquakes
Categories
Funding
- National Council of Science and Technology (CONACYT) of Mexico (CVU) [376516]
Ask authors/readers for more resources
Nowcasting earthquakes, suggested recently as a method to estimate the state of a fault and hence the seismic risk, is based on the concept of natural time. Here, we generalize nowcasting to a prediction method the merits of which are evaluated by means of the receiver operating characteristics. This new prediction method is applied to a simple (toy) model for the waiting (natural) time of the stronger earthquakes, real seismicity, and the Olami-Feder-Christensen earthquake model with interesting results revealing acceptable to excellent or even outstanding performance.
Authors
I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.
Reviews
Recommended
No Data Available