3.8 Article

An age and space structured SIR model describing the Covid-19 pandemic

Journal

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS IN INDUSTRY
Volume 10, Issue 1, Pages -

Publisher

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1186/s13362-020-00090-4

Keywords

Age and Space Structured SIR Model; Differential Equations in Epidemic Modeling; Covid-19 Modeling

Funding

  1. GNAMPA 2020 project From Wellposedness to Game Theory in Conservation Laws

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We present an epidemic model capable of describing key features of the Covid-19 pandemic. While capturing several qualitative properties of the virus spreading, it allows to compute the basic reproduction number, the number of deaths due to the virus and various other statistics. Numerical integrations are used to illustrate the adherence of the evolutions described by the model to specific well known real features of the present pandemic. In particular, this model is consistent with the well known relevance of quarantine, shows the dramatic role of care houses and accounts for the increase in the death toll when spatial movements are not constrained.

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