Ecological risk assessment of accidental release of flowback water: A conceptual framework

The aim of the study is to conduct an ecological risk assessment of accidental release of flowback water into freshwater body. Flowback water produced from the hydraulic fracturing process has a complex combination of high concentration of salts, organic compounds and metals. The toxicity of flowback water is assessed and an exposure assessment method for the inorganic constituents of the flowback water is developed. An equation for risk is derived to characterize the risk of the flowback water to the aquatic ecology. A case study is conducted for accidental release of hydraulic fracturing flowback water in Montney unconventional play trend in northern British Columbia. The flowback water quality data for 212 wells, including the concentrations of various salt ions, metal ions, and hydrogen sulfide, is collected for the assessment. The risk quotient is found to be 0.16 (< 1), proving no significant risk to the aquatic ecosystem with 90% confidence. However, the overall results of the uncertainty and scenario analysis concludes that the risk to the ecology cannot be completely overlooked. Scenario analysis was done for monthly creek discharge and a relationship between risk quotient and the ratio of spill volume to the creek discharge was derived.