Journal
HEALTH SERVICES RESEARCH
Volume 53, Issue 3, Pages 1900-1918Publisher
WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/1475-6773.12718
Keywords
Parametric g-formula; causal inference; target trial; comparative effectiveness research
Funding
- Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute (PCORI) Pilot Project Award (Title: Comparison of Dynamic Treatment Strategies for Patient-Centered Outcomes Research)
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ObjectiveTo compare the effectiveness of dynamic anemia management strategies by applying the parametric g-formula to electronic health records. Data Source/Study SettingPatients with end-stage renal disease from the US Renal Data System who had congestive heart failure or ischemic heart disease and were undergoing hemodialysis in outpatient dialysis facilities between 2006 and 2010. Study DesignWe explicitly emulated a target trial of three erythropoietin dosing strategies (aimed at achieving a low, middle, or high hematocrit) and estimated the observational analog of the per-protocol effect. ResultsOf 156,945 eligible patients, 41,970 died during the 18-month follow-up. Compared to the low-hematocrit strategy, the estimated risk of death was 4.6 (95% CI 4.4-4.9) percentage points higher under the high-hematocrit strategy and 1.8 (95% CI 1.7-1.9) percentage points higher under the mid-hematocrit strategy. The corresponding risk differences for a composite outcome of death and myocardial infarction were similar. ConclusionAn explicit emulation of a target trial using electronic health records, combined with the parametric g-formula, allowed comparison of real-world dynamic strategies that have not been compared in randomized trials.
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