Journal
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
Volume 42, Issue -, Pages 226-236Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.02.012
Keywords
Human capital; Economic growth; Income projections; Climate change
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The quantitative assessment of the global effects of climate change requires the construction of income projections spanning large time horizons. Exploiting the robust link between educational attainment, age structure dynamics and economic growth, we use population projections by age, sex and educational attainment to obtain income per capita paths to the year 2100 for 144 countries. Such a framework offers a powerful, consistent methodology which can be used to study the future environmental challenges and to address potential policy reactions. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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