4.4 Article

COVID-19: stock market reactions to the shock and the stimulus

Journal

APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS
Volume 28, Issue 10, Pages 795-801

Publisher

ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1781767

Keywords

COVID-19; event study; stimulus; emerging markets; small firms

Categories

Funding

  1. Tsao Family Foundation
  2. Denney Endowment [2019-2021] at Pepperdine Graziadio Business School

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The COVID-19 pandemic had a negative impact on global stock markets, especially in emerging markets and for small firms. The United States stock market experienced positive abnormal returns from the Federal Reserve stimulus compared to other developed countries and emerging markets, with the gains mainly benefiting large firms over small firms.
Using the WHO announcement on 11 March 2020 and the Federal Reserve Bank announcement on 9 April 2020 as two events that represent the shock and the stimulus, this study finds that COVID-19 caused a negative shock to the global stock markets, especially in emerging markets and for small firms. We find that the US stock market experienced positive abnormal returns from the Fed stimulus compared to other developed countries and emerging markets. We find that the positive abnormal returns from the stimulus were garnered by the US large firms instead of the small firms.

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