Journal
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 38, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101703
Keywords
WTI; Gold; COVID-19; Contagion; Explosive process; Recursive rolling window; Time-varying Granger causality
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This study examines the causal relationship between crude oil and gold prices and finds a bilateral contagion effect of bubbles between the two markets during the recent COVID-19 outbreak.
This paper examines the causal relationship between crude oil and gold spot prices to assess how the economic impact of COVID-19 has affected them. We analyze West Texas Light crude oil (WTI) and gold prices from January 4, 2010, to May 4, 2020. We detect common periods of mild explosivity in WTI and gold markets. More importantly, we find a bilateral contagion effect of bubbles in oil and gold markets during the recent COVID-19 outbreak.
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