Journal
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
Volume 166, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120595
Keywords
Expectations; Learning; Networks; Port; Sustainability transition
Categories
Funding
- Research Council of Norway [281002]
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Ports, as crucial nodes in the intersection of energy and transport systems, have great potential for transition, although their heterogeneity suggests that transition pathways may vary. Through studying two frontrunner ports in Norway, it is found that social processes play a significant role in shaping transition pathways in ports, with deep learning, resource capacity, wider network actions, and specificity of expectations influencing the divergence of transition pathways. Contrary to previous findings, broad and diversified networks in ports can also present challenges to the directionality of transition work, highlighting the importance of aligning expectations with sustainability goals in specific value chains for promoting transition work.
To counter climate change, societies are under pressure to transform energy and transport sectors. Considering the crucial node position of ports in the intersection between energy and transport systems and their connecting of numerous sectors, markets, and values chains, they have hitherto received surprisingly little attention as potential sites for whole system thinking and deep transition. Their heterogeneity suggests that ports are likely to follow different transition pathways. This study explores two Norwegian frontrunner ports to demonstrate how social processes are part of the fabric that constitutes transition pathways in ports. The transition pathways in the two ports diverge according to how they are shaped by deep learning, resource capacity and the collective action of their wider networks, as well as the specificity of expectations. The study complements existing research on transition pathways by focusing on social processes beyond the niche level and by suggesting inter-process and inter-level dynamics to be decisive for the direction of transition work. Contrary to earlier findings, the paper demonstrates how broad and diversified networks may also represent a challenge to the directionality of transitions work. Ports can, however, promote transition work by aligning expectations to port sustainability with expectations in specific value chains.
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