4.4 Article

WITHIN-SEASON PRODUCER RESPONSE TO WARMER TEMPERATURES: DEFENSIVE INVESTMENTS BY KENYAN FARMERS

Journal

ECONOMIC JOURNAL
Volume 131, Issue 633, Pages 392-419

Publisher

OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueaa063

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Funding

  1. African Development Bank through Structural Transformation of African Agriculture and Rural Spaces (STAARS) project
  2. government of the Republic of Korea through the Korea-Africa Economic Co-operation Trust Fund
  3. CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Markets (PIM)

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Research shows that farmers adjust agricultural inputs in response to within-season temperature variation, increasing pesticide use and weeding effort while reducing fertilizer use in response to higher temperatures. These adjustments are made to combat the increased incidence of pests, crop diseases, and weeds due to warmer temperatures, diverting investments towards defensive inputs such as pesticides and weeding labor.
We present evidence that farmers adjust agricultural inputs in response to within-season temperature variation, undertaking defensive investments to reduce the adverse agro-ecological impacts of warmer temperatures. Using panel data from Kenyan maize-growing households, we find that higher temperatures early in the growing season increase the use of pesticides, while reducing fertiliser use. Warmer temperatures throughout the season increase weeding effort. These adjustments arise because greater heat increases the incidence of pests, crop diseases and weeds, compelling farmers to divert investment from productivity-enhancing technologies such as fertiliser to adaptive. loss-reducing, defensive inputs such as pesticides and weeding labour.

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