4.2 Article

Representing Model Discrepancy in Bound-to-Bound Data Collaboration

Journal

SIAM-ASA JOURNAL ON UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION
Volume 9, Issue 1, Pages 231-259

Publisher

SIAM PUBLICATIONS
DOI: 10.1137/19M1270185

Keywords

model discrepancy; uncertainty quantification; bound-to-bound data collaboration; inverse problem

Funding

  1. U.S. Department of Energy, National Nuclear Security Administration [DE-NA0002375]

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This study extends the methodology of bound-to-bound data collaboration in an optimization-based deterministic uncertainty quantification framework to explicitly account for model discrepancy. The discrepancy is represented as a linear combination of finite basis functions and modifications are made to prediction formulas. Prior information about model discrepancy can also be included as additional constraints to enhance framework accuracy. Dataset consistency, a central feature of B2BDC, is generalized based on the extended framework.
We extend the existing methodology in bound-to-bound data collaboration (B2BDC), an optimizationbased deterministic uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework, to explicitly take into account model discrepancy. The discrepancy is represented as a linear combination of finite basis functions, and the feasible set is constructed according to a collection of modified model-data constraints. Formulas for making predictions are also modified to include the model discrepancy function. Prior information about the model discrepancy can be added to the framework as additional constraints. Dataset consistency, a central feature of B2BDC, is generalized based on the extended framework.

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