DRYP 1.0: a parsimonious hydrological model of DRYland Partitioning of the water balance

Dryland regions are characterised by water scarcity and are facing major challenges under climate change. One difficulty is anticipating how rainfall will be partitioned into evaporative losses, groundwater, soil moisture, and runoff (the water balance) in the future, which has important implications for water resources and dryland ecosystems. However, in order to effectively estimate the water balance, hydrological models in drylands need to capture the key processes at the appropriate spatio-temporal scales. These include spatially restricted and temporally brief rainfall, high evaporation rates, transmission losses, and focused groundwater recharge. Lack of available input and evaluation data and the high computational costs of explicit representation of ephemeral surface-groundwater interactions restrict the usefulness of most hydrological models in these environments. Therefore, here we have developed a parsimonious distributed hydrological model for DRYland Partitioning (DRYP). The DRYP model incorporates the key processes of water partitioning in dryland regions with limited data requirements, and we tested it in the data-rich Walnut Gulch Experimental Watershed against measurements of streamflow, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration. Overall, DRYP showed skill in quantifying the main components of the dryland water balance including monthly observations of streamflow (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, NSE, similar to 0.7), evapotranspiration (NSE > 0.6), and soil moisture (NSE similar to 0.7). The model showed that evapotranspiration consumes > 90% of the total precipitation input to the catchment and that < 1% leaves the catchment as streamflow. Greater than 90% of the overland flow generated in the catchment is lost through ephemeral channels as transmission losses. However, only similar to 35% of the total transmission losses percolate to the groundwater aquifer as focused groundwater recharge, whereas the rest is lost to the atmosphere as riparian evapotranspiration. Overall, DRYP is a modular, versatile, and parsimonious Python-based model which can be used to anticipate and plan for climatic and anthropogenic changes to water fluxes and storage in dryland regions.

Automated summary

Dryland regions face challenges under climate change due to water scarcity, and predicting water partitioning is crucial. The DRYP model, tested in the Walnut Gulch Experimental Watershed, effectively quantifies key components of the dryland water balance.