Journal
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION
Volume 75, Issue 4, Pages 991-1017Publisher
CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/S0020818320000624
Keywords
Human rights; information technology; authoritarianism; repression; formal theory
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Advances in digital technology have significant implications for the future of human rights and authoritarian rule, potentially strengthening authoritarian control and leading to increased human rights abuses to prevent opposition mobilization. This has broad implications for the human rights regime, democratization efforts, and the interpretation of recent declines in violent human rights abuses.
How will advances in digital technology affect the future of human rights and authoritarian rule? Media figures, public intellectuals, and scholars have debated this relationship for decades, with some arguing that new technologies facilitate mobilization against the state and others countering that the same technologies allow authoritarians to strengthen their grip on power. We address this issue by analyzing the first game-theoretic model that accounts for the dual effects of technology within the strategic context of preventive repression. Our game-theoretical analysis suggests that technological developments may not be detrimental to authoritarian control and may, in fact, strengthen authoritarian control by facilitating a wide range of human rights abuses. We show that technological innovation leads to greater levels of abuses to prevent opposition groups from mobilizing and increases the likelihood that authoritarians will succeed in preventing such mobilization. These results have broad implications for the human rights regime, democratization efforts, and the interpretation of recent declines in violent human rights abuses.
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