4.6 Article

Urban residential energy switching in China between 1980 and 2014 prevents 2.2 million premature deaths

Journal

ONE EARTH
Volume 4, Issue 11, Pages 1602-1613

Publisher

CELL PRESS
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.10.013

Keywords

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Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [41991312, 41830641, 41922057, 41821005]
  2. Chinese Academy of Science [2019QZKK0605, XDA23010100]
  3. Undergraduate Student Research Training Program
  4. High-performance Computing Platform of Peking University

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The use of relatively clean energy sources in China has significantly reduced health impacts and premature deaths caused by air pollution. Modeling shows that switching to cleaner energy has been effective in reducing particulate matter and improving overall air quality in urban areas.
Exposure to air pollution by burning solid fuels (such as coal) for residential cooking and heating in China has caused significant health impacts in the past. The government has implemented measures to replace coal with relatively clean energy sources (e.g., natural gas). However, the scale and scope of health benefits associated with such energy switching in an urban context, when considering both ambient and indoor air quality, remain unclear. Here we used an atmospheric chemical transport model showing that relatively clean energy use increased from 2% to 71% from 1980 to 2014, and although annual premature deaths attributed to particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 mm (PM2.5) from urban residential sources increased from 136,000 (87,000-194,000) to 202,000 (117,000-302,000) during the same period, this was primarily due to population growth, urbanization, aging, and backgroundmortality rate changes. In the absence of energy switching, there would have been 2.2 million additional premature deaths. The results provide solid evidence on health benefits of energy switching, suggesting further switching to cleaner energy for expanded health-climate co-benefits.

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