Journal
ENERGY POLICY
Volume 109, Issue -, Pages 270-278Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.06.067
Keywords
Deployment modeling; Investment; Feed-in tariff design; Photovoltaics; Prospect theory
Funding
- DLR
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While investments in renewable energy sources (RES) are incentivized around the world, the policy tools that do so are still poorly understood, leading to costly misadjustments in many cases. As a case study, the deployment dynamics of residential solar photovoltaics (PV) invoked by the German feed-in tariff legislation are investigated. Here we report a model showing that the question of when people invest in residential PV systems is found to be not only determined by profitability, but also by profitability's change compared to the status quo. This finding is interpreted in the light of loss aversion, a concept developed in Kahneman and Tversky's prospect theory. The model is able to reproduce most of the dynamics of the uptake with only a few financial and behavioral assumptions.
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