4.7 Article

Stochastic energy market equilibrium modeling with multiple agents

Journal

ENERGY
Volume 134, Issue -, Pages 984-990

Publisher

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.06.056

Keywords

Uncertainty; Stochastic equilibrium; Monte Carlo; Energy modeling

Funding

  1. Research Council of Norway
  2. RENERGI program under the Research Council of Norway
  3. ENERGIX program under the Research Council of Norway

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The energy markets are characterized by many agents simultaneously solving decision problems under uncertainty. It is argued that Monte Carlo simulations are not an adequate way to assess behavioral uncertainty; one should rather rely on stochastic modelling. Drawing on economics, decision theory and operations research, a simple guide on how to transform a deterministic energy market equilibrium model - where several agents simultaneously make decisions - into a stochastic equilibrium model is offered. With our approach, no programming of a stochastic solution algorithm is required. (C) 2017 Published by Elsevier Ltd.

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