Journal
QUANTITATIVE ECONOMICS
Volume 13, Issue 4, Pages 1803-1847Publisher
WILEY
DOI: 10.3982/QE1854
Keywords
Earnings inequality; earnings volatility; immigration; social insurance; D31; E24; J15; J31; J61
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This paper analyzes earnings inequality and dynamics in Sweden from 1985 to 2016, finding differences among different groups. The recession in the early 1990s led to a significant increase in inequality and volatility, with lasting effects. However, after the recession, both men and women experienced steady growth in real earnings and decreasing inequality over more than 20 years. Despite this, gender and immigrant status still play an important role in earnings dynamics.
This paper analyzes earnings inequality and earnings dynamics in Sweden over 1985-2016. The deep recession in the early 1990s marks a historic turning point with a massive increase in earnings inequality and earnings volatility, and the impact of the recession and the recovery from it lasted for decades. In the aftermath of the recession, we find steady growth in real earnings across the entire distribution for men and women and decreasing inequality over more than 20 years. Despite the positive trend, large gender differences in earnings dynamics persist. While earnings growth for men is more closely tied to the business cycle, women face much higher volatility overall. Earnings volatility is also substantially higher among foreign-born workers, reflecting weaker labor market attachment and high risk of large negative shocks for low-income immigrants. We document an important role of social benefits usage for the overall trends and for differences across subpopulations. Higher benefits enrollment, especially for women and immigrants, is associated with higher earnings volatility. As the generosity and usage of benefit programs declined over time, we find stronger earnings growth among low-income workers, consistent with higher self-sufficiency.
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