4.5 Article

Are we moving towards decarbonisation of the global economy? Lessons from the distant past to the present

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS
Volume 28, Issue 3, Pages 2620-2634

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.2553

Keywords

CO2 emissions; decarbonisation; economic growth; G7; nonlinearities

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This study examines the decarbonization progress of the G7 countries over nearly two centuries. The results show encouraging progress towards sustainable development and suggest policies for low-carbon transition and enhanced economic growth in energy-intensive industries.
This study adds to the literature on decarbonisation of the global energy system. We employ a detailed and long dataset that covers a period of nearly two centuries for the G7 countries. We link the scale of economic activity to the notion of environmental quality and employ nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models that take into account the presence of structural breaks in our series. Moreover, we apply linear Granger causality tests as well as the Hatemi-J nonlinear causality test to further gauge asymmetries between economic growth and CO2 emissions. Our results are encouraging and point to the significant progress that has been made toward sustainable development. Along these lines, we identify a number of policy implications following a low-carbon transition that result in enhanced economic growth and competitiveness of energy-intensive industries.

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