Journal
CITIES
Volume 143, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2023.104575
Keywords
Pickpocketing crime; Street view; Deep anomaly detection; Interpretable analysis; Social disorder
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The study proposes a crime risk assessment framework based on deep anomaly detection techniques, using street view images to map the distribution of pickpocketing risk in large Chinese cities. The findings show that pickpocketing crimes in China are influenced by regional economic conditions, built environment factors, and human routine activities.
The practice of crime risk mapping, enabled by the utilization of geospatial big data such as street view images, has received significant research attention. However, in situations where available data is scarce, mapping models may suffer from underfitting and generate inaccurate spatial pattern estimations of crime risk. The covert nature of pickpocketing crimes results in limited observed areas relevant to such criminal events, leading to insufficient coverage of geospatial data. Moreover, the location of crime is also influenced by socio-economic characteristics that may introduce biases into crime risk estimates. These factors render it challenging for the model to capture a valid crime risk pattern, potentially yielding misleading conclusions. Therefore, effectively extracting crime risk with limited data remains a challenge, especially when relying on easily accessible, widespread, and unbiased geospatial data. To address this challenge, we propose a novel crime risk assessment framework based on deep anomaly detection techniques, assuming that urban landscape anomalies carry deep crime risk information. We take Shenzhen as the study area and map the distribution of pickpocketing risk using street view images, accurately revealing the spatial aggregation of pickpocketing crime risk. Our findings indicate that pickpocketing crime in China is caused by regional economic conditions, built environment factors, and human routine activities. This study provides valuable insights for policing and prevention strategies aimed at addressing pickpocketing crimes in large Chinese cities. By leveraging our proposed crime risk assessment framework, decision-makers can allocate resources more efficiently and develop targeted interventions to mitigate crime risks.
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