☆ 4.8 Review

Towards scientific forecasting of magmatic eruptions

NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2023)

Related references

Note: Only part of the references are listed.

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Magmatic plumbing and dynamic evolution of the 2021 La Palma eruption

Carmen del Fresno et al.

Summary: The 2021 volcanic eruption at La Palma, Canary Islands, was the largest in the island's history. A study using seismological methods found a long preparatory phase with the destabilization of an intermediate reservoir and a co-eruptive phase with seismic activity controlled by the drainage and interaction of two reservoirs.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2023)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Surface deformations and gravity changes caused by pressurized finite ellipsoidal cavities

Mehdi Nikkhoo et al.

Summary: We developed quasi-analytical solutions for the surface deformation field and gravity changes caused by the pressurization of a finite ellipsoidal cavity in a half-space. The solutions are represented by a non-uniform distribution of triaxial point sources within the cavity, with their strengths and spacing determined in an adaptive manner to achieve uniform net point-source potency per unit volume. The solutions were validated and compared with other analytical and numerical solutions, and computationally efficient MATLAB codes for source inversions were provided. This solution is important for exploring potential deviations from axial symmetry in the geometry of shallow magma chambers.

GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL (2023)

Add to Collection

Review Geochemistry & Geophysics

Spatial and Temporal Quantification of Subaerial Volcanism From 1980 to 2019: Solid Products, Masses, and Average Eruptive Rates

Federico Galetto et al.

Summary: Volcanism is a major process for transferring mass and energy between the Earth's interior and surface. This study reviewed the mass of erupted products from 1980 to 2019 using a global compilation. The analysis included 1,064 magmatic eruptions and provided information on the total erupted mass and the distribution of volcanic products. The study quantified the temporal and spatial changes in subaerial volcanism at a global and regional scale. Lava accounted for about 57% of the total erupted mass, while explosive products could dominate during periods of significant eruptions. The study also identified the key volcanoes responsible for the majority of the erupted mass.

REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS (2023)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Mechanical Modeling of Pre-Eruptive Magma Propagation Scenarios at Calderas

L. Mantiloni et al.

Summary: This study establishes a computationally efficient and flexible magma propagation model, which considers the stress state of the volcano and the advancement of dike propagation within this stress field. A three-dimensional numerical model is developed to calculate the stress state of the volcano, and a simplified three-dimensional model of dike propagation is introduced. By comparing with a previous model, it is found that the new model better simulates dike propagation. Finally, the simplified model is used to produce shallow dike propagation scenarios in a series of synthetic caldera settings, which broadly reproduce the observed variability in natural calderas.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2023)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Modeling the Shape and Velocity of Magmatic Intrusions, a New Numerical Approach

S. Furst et al.

Summary: Understanding the physics of dyking process is crucial for volcanic hazard mitigation. A numerical model capturing the coupling of fracturing and fluid transport is presented, accounting for the viscosity of the fluid. This model demonstrates the significant contribution of viscous forces to the energy dissipated during the propagation of magmatic dykes, providing insights into the characteristics of crack shapes and velocities.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2023)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Classification of lava lakes based on their heat and SO2 emission: Implications for their formation and feeding processes

Robin Campion et al.

Summary: Lava lakes are a rare form of volcanic activity that continuously release heat and volcanic gases into the atmosphere. Based on measurements from several lava lakes on Earth, we propose a new classification system and find that small lakes show a positive correlation between volcanic radiative power (VRP) and SO2 emissions, while large lakes show an inverse correlation. We also observe a common trend of transition from foam-dominated to melt-dominated in the formation of large lava lakes at rift and hotspot volcanoes in the last 2 decades.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2023)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Rapid pre-explosion increase in dome extrusion rate at La Soufri?re, St. Vincent quantified from synthetic aperture radar backscatter

E. W. Dualeh et al.

Summary: Satellite radar backscatter provides unique information on the growth of lava domes during volcanic eruptions. In this study, an approach for estimating volcanic topography from backscatter images is presented. The study focuses on the dome growth during the 2021 eruption at La Soufriere and reveals an acceleration in extrusion rate prior to the explosive eruption.

EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS (2023)

Add to Collection

Article Environmental Sciences

Potential for rupture before eruption at Campi Flegrei caldera, Southern Italy

Christopher R. J. Kilburn et al.

Summary: Analysis of ground deformation and seismicity since 1984 suggests that the unrest at Italy's Campi Flegrei caldera indicates the start of rupturing below the surface and the possibility of volcanic activity. Previous episodes of ground uplift have been followed by rupture, and new data confirms that the current unrest is changing the structure of the caldera's crust. This analysis provides important constraints for evaluating the potential of the volcano to erupt or subside without eruption.

COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2023)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Strengthening local volcano observatories through global collaborations

Jacob B. Lowenstern et al.

Summary: Observatories play a key role as a bridge between decision-making authorities and monitoring data in the future. The global scientific community needs to collaborate to strengthen observatories, build databases and scientific models, and improve eruption forecasts and their mitigation. Observatories should contribute data to foster international collaborations.

BULLETIN OF VOLCANOLOGY (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Geodetic Monitoring at Axial Seamount Since Its 2015 Eruption Reveals a Waning Magma Supply and Tightly Linked Rates of Deformation and Seismicity

William W. Chadwick et al.

Summary: Axial Seamount is a basaltic hot spot volcano located below sea level, and has experienced eruptions in 1998, 2011, and 2015. The magma supply rate has been decreasing since the last eruption in 2015, with the next eruption estimated to be 4-9 years away. Long-term monitoring data reveals significant variations in magma supply rate over different time scales.

GEOCHEMISTRY GEOPHYSICS GEOSYSTEMS (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Defining the Pre-Eruptive States of Active Volcanoes for Improving Eruption Forecasting

Mauro Rosi et al.

Summary: A crucial aspect of managing a volcanic crisis is the ability of volcanologists to quickly detect an impending eruption. This study focuses on identifying different states of active volcanoes using monitoring data and highlights the importance of recognizing the state of impending eruption for timely forecasts. Applying this rationale to active volcanoes in densely populated areas demonstrates its feasibility and significance in eruption forecasting.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A Deep Active Learning Approach to the Automatic Classification of Volcano-Seismic Events

Grace F. Manley et al.

Summary: In this study, an approach to volcano-seismic event classification using active learning is proposed. The results show that models with data selected using active learning achieve better accuracy and AUC compared to random sampling. Additionally, active learning reduces the burden of labeling for certain datasets.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Analytical Solutions for Gravity Changes Caused by Triaxial Volumetric Sources

Mehdi Nikkhoo et al.

Summary: Volcanic crises are often caused by magmatic intrusions or pressurization of magma chambers, resulting in changes in surface gravity and deformation. To accurately estimate the intrusion mass, the deformation effects must be taken into account. By developing analytical solutions and computer codes, joint inversions of intrusion mass and deformation source parameters can provide more accurate results.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2022)

Add to Collection

Review Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A review of tectonic, elastic and visco-elastic models exploring the deformation patterns throughout the eruption of Soufriere Hills volcano on Montserrat, West Indies

J. W. Neuberg et al.

Summary: Since the eruption began in 1995, Soufrie`re Hills volcano on Montserrat has experienced five phases of magma extrusion and corresponding pauses. Despite a lack of eruptive surface activity since 2010, ongoing outgassing and island-wide inflation suggest that the volcano is still showing signs of unrest. By using numerical modelling and comparing various deformation models, researchers aim to understand the current state of the volcano and assess its potential for future eruptions.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geology

An initial assessment of short-term eruption forecasting options in New Zealand

Melody G. Whitehead et al.

Summary: Currently, there are no quantitative short-term eruption forecasts based on peer-reviewed and validated models that are operational for New Zealand's volcanoes. During a volcanic crisis, there is a demand for eruption forecasts under high stress and time-restricted conditions. Although there are many forecasting options available, none have been proven universally viable and testing and calibration are limited to specific events. The major limiting factor in method selection in New Zealand is the low number of past instrumentally monitored eruptions. The data gap could be filled by carefully selecting analogue data from global volcanoes and utilizing expert knowledge. Event trees and the failure forecasting method can be implemented at most volcanoes with minimal effort, but the latter can only predict eruption onset time. Expert interpretation is the only available method in New Zealand for any forecast output type.

NEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF GEOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

22 years of satellite imagery reveal a major destabilization structure at Piton de la Fournaise

Quentin Dumont et al.

Summary: Volcanic activity can lead to flank failure and tsunamis, but the structures and mechanisms of failure are still debated. This study used satellite imagery and inverse modeling to analyze 57 magmatic intrusions at Piton de la Fournaise volcano. It revealed a major arcuate dyke intrusion zone connected to a sill intrusion zone, forming a spoon-shaped structure. This structure could trigger catastrophic collapses.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Elongated Magma Plumbing System Beneath the Coso Volcanic Field, California, Constrained by Seismic Reflection Tomography

Dongdong Wang et al.

Summary: We have developed a high-resolution crustal P-wave velocity model for the Coso-Ridgecrest region, revealing the presence of a prominent low-velocity body beneath the Coso volcanic field (CVF) interpreted as a rhyolite magma reservoir. We also discovered a low-velocity body in the upper-middle crust that extends into the lower crust and is attributed to a basaltic magma reservoir connecting the uppermost mantle melts with the rhyolitic reservoir. These findings provide insights into the magma plumbing system beneath the CVF.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Eruption at basaltic calderas forecast by magma flow rate

Federico Galetto et al.

Summary: According to analysis of 45 unrest case studies and viscoelastic modeling, using magma inflow rate improves eruption forecasting on timescales of weeks to months for basaltic caldera systems, compared with using surface deformation alone. The study shows that magma inflow rate can indicate the probability of magma transfer towards the surface and eruption. Inflow rates >= 0.1 km(3) yr(-1) promote magma propagation and eruption within 1 year in all assessed case studies, whereas rates <0.01 km(3) yr(-1) do not lead to magma propagation in 89% of cases.

NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Responding to eruptive transitions during the 2020-2021 eruption of La Soufriere volcano, St. Vincent

E. P. Joseph et al.

Summary: Responding to rapid changes in eruptive behavior is a critical challenge during volcanic emergencies. This study demonstrates how an evolving conceptual model and the expression of uncertainties were essential in anticipating and responding to the transition of the La Soufriere volcano eruption. Input from multiple monitoring datasets and efficient resource allocation played a key role in addressing this challenge.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Intra-Eruption Forecasting Using Analogue Volcano and Eruption Sets

Mark S. Bebbington et al.

Summary: Forecasting the style and chronology of volcanic eruptions is a complex issue that has received less attention compared to forecasting the onset and magnitude. This study develops a global data set of coded eruption phases and examines whether analog-based strategies can improve forecasting performance. The findings suggest that limiting the analog set based on volcano morphology and composition is not significantly more informative than using the entire data set. However, dynamically adjusting the data limits based on observed phases may provide some utility, and non-analog models can outperform the entire data set at the individual volcano level if the target volcano has unique behavior and sufficient record of phased eruptions.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Forecasting mechanical failure and the 26 June 2018 eruption of Sierra Negra Volcano, Galapagos, Ecuador

Patricia M. Gregg et al.

Summary: By combining satellite InSAR data with numerical models using high-performance computing data assimilation, the prolonged unrest and eruption timing of the Sierra Negra volcano in the Galapagos were successfully predicted. The evolution of the stress state in the surrounding rock and a faulting event were found to be key factors in the eruption.

SCIENCE ADVANCES (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Automated Eruption Forecasting at Frequently Active Volcanoes Using Bayesian Networks Learned From Monitoring Data and Expert Elicitation: Application to Mt Ruapehu, Aotearoa, New Zealand

Annemarie Christophersen et al.

Summary: Probabilistic methods, such as Bayesian networks (BNs), are recommended for eruption forecasting in volcano observatories. BNs provide a flexible framework to model complex volcano systems, incorporating expert elicitation and data learning. In collaboration with the New Zealand volcano monitoring group, a BN model was developed to forecast the probability of eruption for Mt Ruapehu, which showed good agreement with retrospective forecasts.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Precursor-free eruption triggered by edifice rupture at Nyiragongo volcano

D. Smittarello et al.

Summary: On May 22, 2021, Mount Nyiragongo in the Democratic Republic of the Congo experienced an unusual eruption without apparent precursors. Research suggests that this reversed sequence was likely caused by a rupture of the volcano's structure, resulting in deadly lava flows and a large intrusion of magma. This volcanic crisis raises new questions about the mechanisms controlling such eruptions and the potential for more hazardous events.

NATURE (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Deformation and seismicity decline before the 2021 Fagradalsfjall eruption

Freysteinn Sigmundsson et al.

Summary: Increased rates of deformation and seismicity are well-established precursors to volcanic eruptions. However, the pre-eruptive patterns of deformation and seismicity vary widely. A recent eruption in Iceland was preceded by a period of tectonic stress release, resulting in a decline in deformation and seismicity before the eruption. The eruption was accompanied by high rates of deformation and seismicity, as well as strike-slip earthquakes, indicating the emplacement of a magma-filled dyke. The reduction in deformation and seismicity can be attributed to the systematic release of stored tectonic stress and the shallowing of active magma emplacement.

NATURE (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Infrasonic gliding reflects a rising magma column at Mount Etna (Italy)

Mariangela Sciotto et al.

Summary: This study investigates the changes in monotonic infrasound signals before a volcanic eruption, and shows that these changes can be used to track the position of the magma free surface, providing information on the processes within the plumbing system prior to volcanic activity.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Energy threshold changes in volcanic activity at Mt. Etna (Italy) inferred from volcanic tremor

Horst Langer et al.

Summary: Pattern classification has been proven to be an effective method for flagging alerts of volcano unrest before eruptive activity at Mt. Etna, Italy since the 2010s. However, the duration of volcano unrest and the onset of eruptive activity are still uncertain. By using thresholds to detect conditions leading to paroxysmal activity, early warning can be provided for impending eruptions, which is crucial for volcanologists' assessments.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Forecasting explosions at Sinabung Volcano, Indonesia, based on SO2 emission rates

Syegi Kunrat et al.

Summary: This study investigates the eruption mechanism of Sinabung Volcano in Indonesia and finds a correlation between volcanic explosions and the sealing of the volcanic system. The analysis of SO2 emissions data suggests that lower emissions precede explosive events, supporting the seal-failure model. The study also develops a forecasting method based on SO2 emission rates to assess the probability of explosions.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2022)

Add to Collection

Review Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Nyiragongo and Nyamuragira: a review of volcanic activity in the Kivu rift, western branch of the East African Rift System

Andre Pouclet et al.

Summary: Nyiragongo and Nyamuragira are two active volcanoes located in the Virunga area of the Western branch of the East African Rift. They have displayed a series of intra-crater and flank eruptions since their formation approximately 12,000 and 300-500 years ago, respectively. The volcanic activity at both mountains can be divided into different stages, with varying rates of magma output.

BULLETIN OF VOLCANOLOGY (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A machine-learning approach for automatic classification of volcanic seismicity at La Soufriere Volcano, Guadeloupe

Alexis Falcin et al.

Summary: A machine-learning-based model was proposed and trained to classify seismo-volcanic signals, providing objective and reproducible results. The model showed improved accuracy after including new signal classes and analyzing feature weights. However, the model's universality is limited and may require customization for different volcanoes.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Highly explosive basaltic eruptions driven by CO2 exsolution

Chelsea M. Allison et al.

Summary: The study reveals that the high content of exsolved CO2 played a critical role in driving the explosive eruption at Sunset Crater, possibly analogous to the role of exsolved water in driving silicic caldera-forming eruptions. Even relatively modest volume basaltic eruptions could impact the atmosphere due to their distinct gas compositions relative to silicic magmas.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A Bayesian reassessment of the relationship between seismic moment and magmatic intrusion volume during volcanic unrest

Kerry Meyer et al.

Summary: Volcano-tectonic earthquake swarms are common precursors to volcanic eruptions, and a study found that the relationship derived from injection sites underestimates volume changes observed during VT swarms near volcanoes, while a new relationship derived from VT swarms provides a better fit. Although the dataset is too sparse and uncertainties are too large for reliably forecasting eruption magnitude, further analysis with a growing dataset may provide improved insights into eruption-related processes driving seismic moment release in VT swarms.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Explosive or effusive style of volcanic eruption determined by magma storage conditions

Razvan-Gabriel Popa et al.

Summary: Research indicates that the crystallinity, water content, and presence of exsolved volatiles in subvolcanic chambers can influence the eruptive style of volcanoes, determining whether they exhibit explosive or effusive behavior.

NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Inflating Shallow Plumbing System of Bezymianny Volcano, Kamchatka, Studied by InSAR and Seismicity Data Prior to the 20 December 2017 Eruption

Rene Mania et al.

Summary: Research on the eruption episode of Bezymianny volcano on December 20, 2017 shows that changes in low-frequency seismicity and degassing activity occurred at least 90 days before the eruption. Significant variations in RSAM data and surface displacements were observed at least 9 days before the eruption. Inversion modeling also revealed the presence of a shallow and transient reservoir beneath the volcano.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Ground deformation reveals the scale-invariant conduit dynamics driving explosive basaltic eruptions

M. Ripepe et al.

Summary: The study utilizes ground deformation data from Stromboli volcano over a period of 20 years and correlates this data with eruptive records. It finds that the duration and amplitude of the pre-eruption inflation trend scales with eruption magnitude, indicating that the explosive dynamics obey the same (scale-invariant) conduit process.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Extreme Curvature of Shallow Magma Pathways Controlled by Competing Stresses: Insights From the 2018 Sierra Negra Eruption

Timothy Davis et al.

Summary: The 2018 eruption at Sierra Negra volcano was fed by a 15 km long, flat-lying crack, with its trajectory affected by competing stress gradient magnitudes. By developing a framework that captures the three-dimensional kinematics of non-planar intrusions, it becomes possible to simulate and understand the geometry of magma transport at volcanic systems.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Uncovering the eruptive patterns of the 2019 double paroxysm eruption crisis of Stromboli volcano

Daniele Andronico et al.

Summary: In 2019, Stromboli volcano experienced two paroxysmal explosions during a violent eruptive crisis, characterized by weeks to months of destabilization in normal volcanic activity. Integrated field and laboratory investigations, along with numerical simulations, revealed a common pattern of pre-eruptive unrest leading to all paroxysms.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Volcanic CO2 tracks the incubation period of basaltic paroxysms

Alessandro Aiuppa et al.

Summary: The typically calm activity of basaltic volcanoes can be occasionally interrupted by violent explosions, with CO2 emissions serving as a key precursor to such events. In the case of two explosions at Stromboli in 2019, the escalation in volcanic CO2 degassing weeks to months before the eruptions was found to be a significant factor.

SCIENCE ADVANCES (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Lava flow hazard map of Piton de la Fournaise volcano

Magdalena Oryaelle Chevrel et al.

Summary: Piton de la Fournaise volcano on La Reunion island is one of the most active in the world with regular eruptions, primarily occurring within the Enclos caldera. Lava flow hazard maps provide insight into potential future lava flow scenarios, with Enclos being the most likely location for eruptions. Regular updates of topography and hazard maps are essential for effective risk mitigation in this dynamic volcanic environment.

NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES (2021)

Add to Collection

Review Environmental Sciences

The build-up and triggers of volcanic eruptions

Luca Caricchi et al.

Summary: Understanding the storage, release, and ascent of magma is crucial for predicting volcanic activity, and requires an interdisciplinary approach that combines real-time monitoring and geophysical surveys with petrology and volcanic eruptive history.

NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Volcano Crisis Management at Piton de la Fournaise (La Reunion) during the COVID-19 Lockdown

Aline Peltier et al.

Summary: During the global COVID-19 pandemic, the eruption of Piton de la Fournaise on Réunion Island, France provided the volcano observatory with the opportunity to demonstrate its capability in managing volcanic crises remotely. They successfully utilized remote monitoring networks to monitor the eruption, ensuring the continuity of monitoring duties and updates despite the challenges posed by the double crisis of volcanic eruption and health pandemic.

SEISMOLOGICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Partly Cloudy With a Chance of Lava Flows: Forecasting Volcanic Eruptions in the Twenty-First Century

Michael P. Poland et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2020)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Using Conceptual Models to Relate Multiparameter Satellite Data to Subsurface Volcanic Processes in Latin America

K. Reath et al.

GEOCHEMISTRY GEOPHYSICS GEOSYSTEMS (2020)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Mechanical Imaging of a Volcano Plumbing System From GNSS Unsupervised Modeling

Francois Beauducel et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Automatic precursor recognition and real-time forecasting of sudden explosive volcanic eruptions at Whakaari, New Zealand

D. E. Dempsey et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2020)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The NEWTON-g Gravity Imager: Toward New Paradigms for Terrain Gravimetry

D. Carbone et al.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2020)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Joint Inversions of Ground Deformation, Extrusion Flux, and Gas Emissions Using Physics-Based Models for the Mount St. Helens 2004-2008 Eruption

Ying-Qi Wong et al.

GEOCHEMISTRY GEOPHYSICS GEOSYSTEMS (2020)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Using a process-based model of pre-eruptive seismic patterns to forecast evolving eruptive styles at Sinabung Volcano, Indonesia

Wendy A. McCausland et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Monitoring, forecasting collapse events, and mapping pyroclastic deposits at Sinabung volcano with satellite imagery

John Pallister et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Construction of probabilistic event trees for eruption forecasting at Sinabung volcano, Indonesia 2013-14

Heather M. N. Wright et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2019)

Add to Collection

Review Multidisciplinary Sciences

Machine learning for data-driven discovery in solid Earth geoscience

Karianne J. Bergen et al.

SCIENCE (2019)

Add to Collection

Editorial Material Multidisciplinary Sciences

Volcanic threats to global society

Paolo Papale et al.

SCIENCE (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Short-term detection of volcanic unrest at Mt. Etna by means of a multi-station warning system

Salvatore Spampinato et al.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Environmental Sciences

Towards Global Volcano Monitoring Using Multisensor Sentinel Missions and Artificial Intelligence: The MOUNTS Monitoring System

Sebastien Valade et al.

REMOTE SENSING (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Computer Science, Information Systems

An Improved Global Analysis of Population Distribution in Proximity to Active Volcanoes, 1975-2015

Sergio Freire et al.

ISPRS INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEO-INFORMATION (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Stress inversions to forecast magma pathways and eruptive vent location

E. Rivalta et al.

SCIENCE ADVANCES (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Using Machine Learning to Automatically Detect Volcanic Unrest in a Time Series of Interferograms

M. E. Gaddes et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Real-time assessment of potential seismic migration within a monitoring network using Red-flag SARA

Chiou Ting Tan et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

VOLCANS: an objective, structured and reproducible method for identifying sets of analogue volcanoes

Pablo Tierz et al.

BULLETIN OF VOLCANOLOGY (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Insights on Hydrothermal - Magmatic Interactions and Eruptive Processes at Poas Volcano (Costa Rica) From High - Frequency Gas Monitoring and Drone Measurements

J. M. de Moor et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Constraining Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Magma Migration at Piton De La Fournaise Volcano From Pre-eruptive Seismicity

Z. Duputel et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

The 2018 rift eruption and summit collapse of Kilauea Volcano

C. A. Neal et al.

SCIENCE (2019)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Forecasting deflation, intrusion and eruption at inflating volcanoes

Stephen Blake et al.

EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Etnean and Hyblean volcanism shifted away from the Malta Escarpment by crustal stresses

Marco Neri et al.

EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Modulation of magmatic processes by CO2 flushing

Luca Caricchi et al.

EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Forecasting the Eruption of an Open-Vent Volcano Using Resonant Infrasound Tones

Jeffrey B. Johnson et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Seismic Amplitude Ratio Analysis of the 2014-2015 Bar arbunga-Holuhraun Dike Propagation and Eruption

Corentin Caudron et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Infrasonic Early Warning System for Explosive Eruptions

M. Ripepe et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Magmatic or Not Magmatic? The 2015-2016 Seismic Swarm at the Long-Dormant Jailolo Volcano, West Halmahera, Indonesia

Luigi Passarelli et al.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2018)

Add to Collection

Review Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Understanding Fast and Slow Unrest at Volcanoes and Implications for Eruption Forecasting

John Stix

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Changes in the Long-Term Geophysical Eruptive Precursors at Piton de la Fournaise: Implications for the Response Management

Aline Peltier et al.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Prevalence of Seismic Rate Anomalies Preceding Volcanic Eruptions in Alaska

Jeremy D. Pesicek et al.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Alaska Volcano Observatory Alert and Forecasting Timeliness: 1989-2017

Cheryl E. Cameron et al.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Forecasting Volcanic Eruptions: Beyond the Failure Forecast Method

Christopher R. J. Kilburn

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2018)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

A CO2-gas precursor to the March 2015 Villarrica volcano eruption

Alessandro Aiuppa et al.

GEOCHEMISTRY GEOPHYSICS GEOSYSTEMS (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Dike propagation energy balance from deformation modeling and seismic release

Alessandro Bonaccorso et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

New perspectives on volcano monitoring in a tropical environment: Continuous measurements of soil CO2 flux at Piton de la Fournaise (La Reunion Island, France)

G. Boudoire et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Data assimilation strategies for volcano geodesy

Yan Zhan et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

WOVOdat - An online, growing library of worldwide volcanic unrest

C. G. Newhall et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Progressive approach to eruption at Campi Flegrei caldera in southern Italy

Christopher R. J. Kilburn et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

The effect of giant lateral collapses on magma pathways and the location of volcanism

Francesco Maccaferri et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Automated detection and cataloging of global explosive volcanism using the International Monitoring System infrasound network

Robin S. Matoza et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

A two-step model for dynamical dike propagation in two dimensions: Application to the July 2001 Etna eruption

V. Pinel et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Sequential Assimilation of Volcanic Monitoring Data to Quantify Eruption Potential: Application to Kerinci Volcano, Sumatra

Yan Zhan et al.

FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Global Volcano Monitoring: What Does It Mean When Volcanoes Deform?

Juliet Biggs et al.

ELEMENTS (2017)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

On the mechanisms governing dike arrest: Insight from the 2000 Miyakejima dike injection

F. Maccaferri et al.

EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS (2016)

Add to Collection

Review Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Similarities and differences in the historical records of lava dome-building volcanoes: Implications for understanding magmatic processes and eruption forecasting

T. E. Sheldrake et al.

EARTH-SCIENCE REVIEWS (2016)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Using a cross correlation technique to refine the accuracy of the Failure Forecast Method: Application to Soufriere Hills volcano, Montserrat

R. O. Salvage et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2016)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Volcano-tectonic earthquakes: A new tool for estimating intrusive volumes and forecasting eruptions

Randall White et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2016)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Inflation-predictable behavior and co-eruption deformation at Axial Seamount

Scott L. Nooner et al.

SCIENCE (2016)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Gradual caldera collapse at Bardarbunga volcano, Iceland, regulated by lateral magma outflow

Magnus T. Gudmundsson et al.

SCIENCE (2016)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

How caldera collapse shapes the shallow emplacement and transfer of magma in active volcanoes

F. Corbi et al.

EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS (2015)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Kilometer-scale Kaiser effect identified in Krafla volcano, Iceland

Elias Rafn Heimisson et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2015)

Add to Collection

Review Geochemistry & Geophysics

An overview of recent (1988 to 2014) caldera unrest: Knowledge and perspectives

V. Acocella et al.

REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS (2015)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Degassing during quiescence as a trigger of magma ascent and volcanic eruptions

Tarsilo Girona et al.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2015)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Balancing bulk gas accumulation and gas output before and during lava fountaining episodes at Mt. Etna

Daniele Carbone et al.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2015)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Quantifying volcanic hazard at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) with uncertainty assessment: 1. Vent opening maps

Andrea Bevilacqua et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2015)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Segmented lateral dyke growth in a rifting event at Bardarbunga volcanic system, Iceland

Freysteinn Sigmundsson et al.

NATURE (2015)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Volcanic drumbeat seismicity caused by stick-slip motion and magmatic frictional melting

J. E. Kendrick et al.

NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2014)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Off-rift volcanism in rift zones determined by crustal unloading

Francesco Maccaferri et al.

NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2014)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Global link between deformation and volcanic eruption quantified by satellite imagery

J. Biggs et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2014)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

A new model for the growth of basaltic shields based on deformation of Fernandina volcano, Galapagos Islands

Marco Bagnardi et al.

EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Cyclical patterns in volcanic degassing revealed by SO2 flux timeseries analysis: An application to Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat

E. J. Nicholson et al.

EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Faulting within the Mount St. Helens conduit and implications for volcanic earthquakes

John S. Pallister et al.

GEOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA BULLETIN (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Infrasound reveals transition to oscillatory discharge regime during lava fountaining: Implication for early warning

Giacomo Ulivieri et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Major effusive eruptions and recent lava fountains: Balance between expected and erupted magma volumes at Etna volcano

A. Bonaccorso et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Overview of the 2006 eruption of Mt. Merapi

Antonius Ratdomopurbo et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Merapi 2010 eruption-Chronology and extrusion rates monitored with satellite radar and used in eruption forecasting

John S. Pallister et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Degassing of CO2, SO2, and H2S associated with the 2009 eruption of Redoubt Volcano, Alaska

Cynthia Werner et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Global volcanic unrest in the 21st century: An analysis of the first decade

G. Phillipson et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2013)

Add to Collection

Review Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A multi-decadal view of seismic methods for detecting precursors of magma movement and eruption

Bernard A. Chouet et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Bayesian inversion of data from effusive volcanic eruptions using physics-based models: Application to Mount St. Helens 2004-2008

Kyle Anderson et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2013)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Imaging preeruptive and coeruptive structural and mechanical changes of a volcano with ambient seismic noise

A. Obermann et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2013)

Add to Collection

Review Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Probabilistic eruption forecasting at short and long time scales

Warner Marzocchi et al.

BULLETIN OF VOLCANOLOGY (2012)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Dynamics of the shallow plumbing system investigated from borehole strainmeters and cameras during the 15 March, 2007 Vulcanian paroxysm at Stromboli volcano

Alessandro Bonaccorso et al.

EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS (2012)

Add to Collection

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Incorporating numerical modeling into estimates of the detection capability of the IMS infrasound network

A. Le Pichon et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2012)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The 2010 explosive eruption of Java's Merapi volcano-A '100-year' event

Surono et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2012)

Add to Collection

Editorial Material Multidisciplinary Sciences

Monitoring Volcanoes

R. S. J. Sparks et al.

SCIENCE (2012)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Imaging the dynamics of magma propagation using radiated seismic intensity

B. Taisne et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2011)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Physics-based models of ground deformation and extrusion rate at effusively erupting volcanoes

Kyle Anderson et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH (2011)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A quantitative study of the mechanisms governing dike propagation, dike arrest and sill formation

F. Maccaferri et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2011)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Satellite-based constraints on explosive SO2 release from Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat

Simon A. Carn et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2010)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A CO2-rich gas trigger of explosive paroxysms at Stromboli basaltic volcano, Italy

Patrick Allard

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2010)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Ground deformation caused by magma ascent in an open conduit

Takeshi Nishimura

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2009)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The onset of the 2007 Stromboli effusive eruption recorded by an integrated geophysical network

M. Ripepe et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2009)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Mechanism of explosive eruption revealed by geophysical observations at the Sakurajima, Suwanosejima and Semeru volcanoes

Masato Iguchi et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2008)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Towards forecasting volcanic eruptions using seismic noise

Florent Brenguier et al.

NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2008)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

New geochemical insights into volcanic degassing

Marie Edmonds

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES (2008)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting

Warner Marzocchi et al.

BULLETIN OF VOLCANOLOGY (2008)

Add to Collection

Article Geology

Forecasting Etna eruptions by real-time observation of volcanic gas composition

Alessandro Aiuppa et al.

GEOLOGY (2007)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Probabilistic eruption forecasting and the call for an evacuation

Warner Marzocchi et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2007)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Rock fracture as a precursor to lava dome eruptions at Mount St Helens from June 1980 to October 1986

R. Smith et al.

BULLETIN OF VOLCANOLOGY (2007)

Add to Collection

Article Geology

Fissure eruptions at Mount Vesuvius (Italy): Insights on the shallow propagation of dikes at volcanoes

Valerio Acocella et al.

GEOLOGY (2006)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Dike propagation driven by volcano collapse: A general model tested at Stromboli, Italy

V Acocella et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2005)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

What makes flank eruptions? The 2001 Etna eruption and its possible triggering mechanisms

V Acocella et al.

BULLETIN OF VOLCANOLOGY (2003)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

SO2 emissions from Soufriere Hills Volcano and their relationship to conduit permeability, hydrothermal interaction and degassing regime

M Edmonds et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2003)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

A strategy for the observation of volcanism on Earth from space

G Wadge

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES (2003)

Add to Collection

Review Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

On the ages of flood basalt events

VE Courtillot et al.

COMPTES RENDUS GEOSCIENCE (2003)

Add to Collection

Review Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Constructing event trees for volcanic crises

CG Newhall et al.

BULLETIN OF VOLCANOLOGY (2002)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Magmatic gas scrubbing: implications for volcano monitoring

RB Symonds et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2001)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Deformation and seismic precursors to dome-collapse and fountain-collapse nuees ardentes at Merapi Volcano, Java, Indonesia, 1994-1998

B Voight et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2000)

Add to Collection

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

An overview of the seismicity of Merapi volcano (Java, Indonesia), 1983-1994

A Ratdomopurbo et al.

JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH (2000)

Add to Collection

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Numerical simulations of the propagation path and the arrest of fluid-filled fractures in the Earth

T Dahm

GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL (2000)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Structural stability of andesite volcanoes and lava domes

B Voight

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES (2000)

Add to Collection

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Characteristics and causes of shallow seismicity in andesite volcanoes

J Neuberg

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF LONDON SERIES A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES (2000)

Add to Collection

© Peeref 2019-2024. All rights reserved.