The role of circulating biomarkers in predicting the 30-day mortality of immune checkpoint inhibitors-related myocarditis: a retrospective cohort study

Immune checkpoint inhibitors-related myocarditis (ICIs-M) is a rare and highly lethal immune-related adverse events (irAEs) in common irAEs. This study aims to find circulating biomarkers that can reflect disease state and prognosis accurately. 48 patients with ICIs-M were enrolled according to the diagnostic criteria for ICIs-related myocarditis. For all enrolled patients, valuable information was extracted retrospectively from the medical system, mainly including demographic information, tumor information and laboratory examination. The follow-up period was defined as 30 days after the first diagnosis of ICIs-M. In this study, the 30-day mortality rate of ICIs-M was 24.4%. After adjusting for potential confounding factors using multivariate analysis tools, we demonstrated the excellent performance of biomarkers in predicting 30-day mortality in patients with ICIs-M, including PLT (hazard ratio (HR), 1.07; 95% confidence interval (95%CI), 1.01-1.14; p = 0.028), ALT (HR, 1.23; 95%CI, 1.06-1.41; p = 0.005), AST(HR, 1.06; 95%CI, 1.01-1.10; p = 0.015), LDH (HR, 1.15; 95%CI, 1.04-1.26; p = 0.004), troponin I(HR, 1.44; 95%CI, 1.09-1.89; p = 0.009), PLR (blood plate/lymphocyte) (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07; p = 0.024), LAR (lactate dehydrogenase/albumin) (HR, 1.05; 95%CI, 1.01-1.09; p = 0.012), and AAR (aspartate transaminase/albumin) (HR, 1.18; 95%CI, 1.00-1.39; p = 0.048). The analysis of the receiver operating characteristic showed that biomarkers with area under curve (AUC) greater than or equal to 0.80 were LDH (cutoff value, 724.5; AUC, 0.86; 95%CI, 0.75-0.97), LAR (cutoff value, 18.11; AUC, 0.87; 95%CI, 0.76-0.97), troponin I (cutoff value, 0.87; AUC, 0.80; 95%CI, 0.62-0.99), and AAR(cutoff value, 1.52; AUC, 0.80; 95%CI, 0.61-0.98). LDH, LAR, troponin I, and AAR are a group of promising biomarkers that demonstrate excellent predictive ability in predicting the 30-day mortality rate of immune-related myocarditis.

Automated summary

This study identified a group of circulating biomarkers that can accurately predict the 30-day mortality rate of immune-related myocarditis. These biomarkers include PLT, ALT, AST, LDH, troponin I, PLR, LAR, and AAR. Among them, LDH, LAR, troponin I, and AAR demonstrated excellent predictive ability.