Journal
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
Volume 198, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122936
Keywords
System dynamics; Open innovation; Topic modelling; Causal machine learning
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Open innovation in data science often involves public competitions where teams compete and collaborate by exchanging messages and solutions. This study introduces a novel research framework that combines system dynamics and structural topic modeling to analyze the impact of team behavior on performance in Kaggle's competition. The results identify four team behavior categories and highlight the positive and significant factors that affect team performance.
Open innovation in data science generally takes the form of public competitions where teams exchange messages and solutions by competing and collaborating simultaneously. Team behaviours are widely heterogeneous in terms of the performance of their solutions and the participation in knowledge creation. We present a novel research framework for open innovation by integrating system dynamics and structural topic modelling to extract open factors and adopting a machine learning-based difference-in-differences estimator to understand the impact of team behaviour on their performance using data from Kaggle's competition. Our results identify four team behaviour categories-active, learner, lurker, and passive- in data science open innovation competitions which depend on the performance of their solutions and actions related to posting and reading messages in the forum. Furthermore, the activities of model evaluation, community support, and business understanding are the top three most positive and significant factors affecting team performance. Our research contributes to the literature by highlighting the value of forum feedback and exploring the data science activities in the forum discussion, in relation to innovation performance, to enrich the empirical understanding of open innovation. Research implications for researchers and practitioners participating in, organising, and supporting data science open innovation activities are provided.
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