4.6 Article

A Narrative of Urban Underground Pipeline System Disasters in China in 2021: Spatial and Temporal Distribution, Causal Analysis, and Response Strategies

Journal

SUSTAINABILITY
Volume 15, Issue 13, Pages -

Publisher

MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/su151310067

Keywords

municipal disaster; underground pipeline system; geographic information systems (GIS); spatial analysis; underground pipeline management

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In recent years, there have been frequent disasters and accidents in the underground pipeline system of Chinese cities, posing a continuous threat to public safety and urban operations. This article analyzes the spatial and temporal distribution of major underground pipeline disasters in different provinces of China in 2021 and develops a causal analysis model for these accidents. The study finds a negative correlation between the urban underground pipeline accident rate and indicators such as per capita GDP and pipeline density in the built-up area. Regression analysis shows that increasing per capita GDP and pipeline density can lead to a decrease in the underground pipeline accident rate.
In recent years, there have been frequent disasters and accidents in the underground pipeline system of Chinese cities, posing a continuous threat to the safety of life and property of the public and the order of urban operations. This article uses statistical data on the spatiotemporal distribution of major underground pipeline disasters in various provinces of China in 2021. By using Pearson's correlation coefficient and regression analysis, a causal analysis model for urban underground pipeline accidents is constructed, and the correlation between urban underground pipeline accident rate and economic and social indicators is analyzed. From the analysis, it has been found that the correlation coefficients of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, the pipeline density in the built-up area, and the urban pipeline accident rate reach -0.4019 and -0.4275, respectively, showing a negative correlation. Further, the regression analysis results show that the underground pipeline accident rate shows a decreasing trend as the per capita GDP and the density of pipelines in the built-up areas increase. Among them, the results of the power function fitting model show that the GDP per capita accounts for 48.10% of the urban underground pipeline accidents, whereas the pipeline density of the built-up area accounts for 58.27% of these accidents. The construction of underground pipeline regulations is influential in reducing underground pipeline disaster accidents. In this study, the role and effectiveness of the factors, such as the construction of professional regulations in maintaining the safe operation of urban underground pipelines, has been discussed, and suggestions and methods to improve the problems that need to be solved, such as the construction of a municipal supporting emergency management system in the safe operation of underground pipelines in the future, have been proposed.

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