Journal
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
Volume 6, Issue 3, Pages 253-260Publisher
NATURE PORTFOLIO
DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2909
Keywords
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Funding
- US Geological Survey Climate and Land Use Change Research and Development Program
- NSF [1237733, 1426981, 1354251]
- FWO [K2.174.14N]
- UA-BOF DOCPRO
- Direct For Biological Sciences
- Division Of Environmental Biology [1354251] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
- Directorate For Geosciences
- Division Of Earth Sciences [1529245] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
- Directorate For Geosciences
- Division Of Ocean Sciences [1238212, 1426896] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
- Division Of Ocean Sciences
- Directorate For Geosciences [GRANTS:13903780, 1427105, GRANTS:13737305, 1426981, 1426308] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
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Coastal marshes are considered to be among the most valuable and vulnerable ecosystems on Earth, where the imminent loss of ecosystem services is a feared consequence of sea level rise. However, we show with a meta-analysis that global measurements of marsh elevation change indicate that marshes are generally building at rates similar to or exceeding historical sea level rise, and that process-based models predict survival under a wide range of future sea level scenarios. We argue that marsh vulnerability tends to be overstated because assessment methods often fail to consider biophysical feedback processes known to accelerate soil building with sea level rise, and the potential for marshes to migrate inland.
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