Journal
SCIENCE TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE
Volume 8, Issue 346, Pages -Publisher
AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/scitranslmed.aaf7165
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Funding
- Stanford Child Health Research Institute Young Investigator award (through the Institute for Immunity, Transplantation and Infection)
- Society of University Surgeons
- Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases [1U19AI109662, U19AI057229, U54I117925, U01AI089859]
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Improved diagnostics for acute infections could decrease morbidity and mortality by increasing early antibiotics for patients with bacterial infections and reducing unnecessary antibiotics for patients without bacterial infections. Several groups have used gene expression microarrays to build classifiers for acute infections, but these have been hampered by the size of the gene sets, use of overfit models, or lack of independent validation. We used multicohort analysis to derive a set of seven genes for robust discrimination of bacterial and viral infections, which we then validated in 30 independent cohorts. We next used our previously published 11-gene Sepsis MetaScore together with the new bacterial/viral classifier to build an integrated antibiotics decision model. In a pooled analysis of 1057 samples from 20 cohorts (excluding infants), the integrated antibiotics decision model had a sensitivity and specificity for bacterial infections of 94.0 and 59.8%, respectively (negative likelihood ratio, 0.10). Prospective clinical validation will be needed before these findings are implemented for patient care.
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