4.4 Article

A General Monte Carlo Method for Sample Size Analysis in the Context of Network Models

Journal

PSYCHOLOGICAL METHODS
Volume -, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

AMER PSYCHOLOGICAL ASSOC
DOI: 10.1037/met0000555

Keywords

network models; Monte Carlo simulation; monotone splines; stratified bootstrapping; power analysis

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We present a general method for sample size computations in the context of cross-sectional network models. The method is an automated Monte Carlo algorithm that iteratively concentrates computations on relevant sample sizes to find the optimal size. It requires inputs of a hypothesized network structure or desired characteristics, an estimation performance measure and target value, and a statistic and target value to reach the performance measure. The method includes a Monte Carlo simulation, curve-fitting, and stratified bootstrapping steps to provide sample size recommendations with uncertainty quantification. Rating: 7/10
We introduce a general method for sample size computations in the context of cross-sectional network models. The method takes the form of an automated Monte Carlo algorithm, designed to find an optimal sample size while iteratively concentrating the computations on the sample sizes that seem most relevant. The method requires three inputs: (1) a hypothesized network structure or desired characteristics of that structure, (2) an estimation performance measure and its corresponding target value (e.g., a sensitivity of 0.6), and (3) a statistic and its corresponding target value that determines how the target value for the performance measure be reached (e.g., reaching a sensitivity of 0.6 with a probability of 0.8). The method consists of a Monte Carlo simulation step for computing the performance measure and the statistic for several sample sizes selected from an initial candidate sample size range, a curve-fitting step for interpolating the statistic across the entire candidate range, and a stratified bootstrapping step to quantify the uncertainty around the recommendation provided. We evaluated the performance of the method for the Gaussian Graphical Model, but it can easily extend to other models. The method displayed good performance, providing sample size recommendations that were, on average, within three observations of a benchmark sample size, with the highest standard deviation of 25.87 observations. The method discussed is implemented in the form of an R package called powerly, available on GitHub and CRAN. Translational Abstract The network approach to psychology is an increasingly popular framework for studying interactions among variables. As the field matures and psychological network modeling becomes more prevalent, there is an increasing need to aid researchers with a network approach in mind that plan to collect data. In this paper, we introduce a general method for performing sample size analysis in the context of network models. The method takes the form of a three-step algorithm designed to find an optimal sample size value given a hypothesized network, an outcome measure (e.g., sensitivity), and a statistic of interest (e.g., power). It starts with a Monte Carlo simulation step for computing the outcome measure and the statistic at various sample sizes. It continues with a curve-fitting step for interpolating the statistic. The final step employs bootstrapping to account for the uncertainty around the interpolated curve. The method is implemented in the form of an R package called powerly, freely available on GitHub and CRAN.

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