Evaluating Trends in Strangles Outbreaks Using Temperature and Precipitation Data in the United States of America for 2018-2022

Strangles is a highly contagious upper respiratory infection of equids that is globally distributed. The causative agent of strangles, Streptococcus equi subspecies equi, can be spread through indirect contact with infected fomites, and studies have shown this microbe to live well in varying environmental conditions. The purpose of this study was to analyze strangles case numbers across the United States of America from 2018 to 2022 to investigate potential temporal or weather patterns associated with outbreaks. Diagnosed case records were obtained from the Equine Disease Communication Center, university databases, government agencies, or veterinary diagnostic labs, and geographic information systems (GISs) were used to map cases and to acquire relevant meteorological data from outbreak areas. These data were analyzed using logistic regression to explore trends that occur between outbreaks and changes in temperature and precipitation. Initial review of weather data suggested monthly changes in strangles case numbers corresponded with changing seasons. Logistic regression indicated that changes in monthly average temperature and minimum temperature were significantly associated with increased or decreased odds of strangles outbreaks, respectively. Future analyses should focus on weather data isolated within a smaller region or state to better resolve trends in strangles outbreaks throughout the continental USA.

Automated summary

This study analyzed strangles case numbers in the United States from 2018 to 2022 to investigate temporal and weather patterns associated with outbreaks. The results suggest that changes in monthly average temperature and minimum temperature are significantly associated with the odds of strangles outbreaks.