4.7 Article

Effect of Baseline Period on Quantification of Climate Extremes Over the United States

Related references

Note: Only part of the references are listed.
Article Environmental Sciences

On the effect of reference periods on trends in percentile-based extreme temperature indices

Robert J. H. Dunn et al.

Summary: Using distinct reference periods for comparing temperature percentile indices leads to apparent differences in behavior due to the interplay between increasing temperatures and the choice of reference period. Linear trends calculated using different reference periods can differ substantially if climatological conditions change between the two periods, as shown in our study using various datasets.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2022)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The effects of non-stationarity on SPI for operational drought monitoring in Europe

Carmelo Cammalleri et al.

Summary: The study examined the temporal consistency of SPI data sets in Europe following a transition from one baseline period to another. Despite minimal impact on drought identification threshold, larger differences were observed in certain regions over longer accumulation periods. Additionally, comparisons against nSPI data suggested good correspondence between static and nSPIs, but difficulties in capturing the magnitude of nSPIs over the entire 10-year period were identified.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Comparing extremes indices in recent observational and reanalysis products

Robert J. H. Dunn et al.

Summary: Monitoring changes in climate extremes is important for understanding both current and future climates. Climate extremes indices based on in situ observations and climate reanalyses are commonly used to assess climate change. Temperature indices show high consistency, while precipitation indices show lower consistency between observation-based and reanalysis datasets.

FRONTIERS IN CLIMATE (2022)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Is it possible to fit extreme climate change indices together seamlessly in the era of accelerated warming?

Yizhak Yosef et al.

Summary: The study demonstrates that choosing different base periods for percentile-based extreme temperature indices can significantly impact the trend magnitude, particularly amplifying negative trends in cold indices while diminishing positive trends in warm indices. The findings suggest that using percentile-based indices derived from different base periods may lead to unreliable conclusions about climate change trends, especially when analyzing data from the last few decades.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2021)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Optimal Climate Normals for the North Atlantic Hurricane Activity

Carl J. Schreck et al.

Summary: The study demonstrates that 50-year climatologies are better predictors of seasonal hurricane activity compared to standard 30-year averages. The 1971-2020 50-year climatology, adjusted for short-lived storms, is likely to be the most representative climatology for the next decade.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

State of the UK Climate 2020

Mike Kendon et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2021)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Development of an Updated Global Land In Situ-Based Data Set of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes: HadEX3

Robert J. H. Dunn et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Mechanisms Associated with Daytime and Nighttime Heat Waves over the Contiguous United States

Natalie P. Thomas et al.

JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

On the use of indices to study extreme precipitation on sub-daily and daily timescales

Lisa Alexander et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2)

Ronald Gelaro et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2017)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

DEFINING A NEW NORMAL FOR EXTREMES IN A WARMING WORLD

Sophie C. Lewis et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2017)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Large-Scale Influences on Summertime Extreme Precipitation in the Northeastern United States

Allison B. Marquardt Collow et al.

JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY (2016)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Projecting Normals in a Nonstationary Climate

D. S. Wilks

JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Performance of Alternative Normals for Tracking Climate Changes, Using Homogenized and Nonhomogenized Seasonal U.S. Surface Temperatures

Daniel S. Wilks et al.

JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

On the Measurement of Heat Waves

S. E. Perkins et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: Part 2. Future climate projections

J. Sillmann et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: Part 1. Model evaluation in the present climate

J. Sillmann et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

NOAA'S 1981-2010 U.S. CLIMATE NORMALS An Overview

Anthony Arguez et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2012)

Editorial Material Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The Definition of the Standard WMO Climate Normal The Key to Deriving Alternative Climate Normals

Anthony Arguez et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2011)

Review Environmental Studies

Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data

Xuebin Zhang et al.

WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE (2011)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Estimation and extrapolation of climate normals and climatic trends

Robert E. Livezey et al.

JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY (2007)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Temperature trends in Switzerland and Europe: Implications for climate normals

SC Scherrer et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2006)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Avoiding inhomogeneity in percentile-based indices of temperature extremes

XB Zhang et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2005)