4.7 Article

Planting suitability of China's main grain crops under future climate change

Related references

Note: Only part of the references are listed.
Article Agronomy

Changes in climate suitability for oil-tea (C. oleifera Abel) production in China under historical and future climate conditions

Dingrong Wu et al.

Summary: This study evaluated changes in suitability for oil-tea crops in China under climate change conditions. The results showed that historical climate change has negatively impacted the most suitable regions and that future climate change will have negative impacts on more regions. To ensure the healthy development of production in the future, efforts should be made to breed heat and drought-resistant varieties and improve management practices.

AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY (2022)

Article Plant Sciences

Yield Response of Spring Maize under Future Climate and the Effects of Adaptation Measures in Northeast China

Jackson K. Koimbori et al.

Summary: This study assessed the impact of climate change on the yield of spring maize in Northeast China and found that increased temperatures and decreased precipitation and sunshine hours would lead to a decrease in maize yield. However, adaptation measures such as altered planting date, supplemental irrigation, and use of cultivars with longer growth periods can mitigate some of the negative effects on yield.

PLANTS-BASEL (2022)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Modelling global impacts of climate variability and trend on maize yield during 1980-2010

Xiaomeng Yin et al.

Summary: The study compared the impacts of climate variability and trends on global maize yield between 1980 and 2010 using both statistical and process-based models. The results showed large discrepancies between the models, highlighting the importance of considering different modeling approaches in projecting future crop yields under climate change.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2021)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Coupling machine learning and crop modeling improves crop yield prediction in the US Corn Belt

Mohsen Shahhosseini et al.

Summary: The study shows that adding simulated crop model variables to machine learning models can reduce prediction errors and that variables related to soil moisture have the biggest impact on predictions. It indicates that more hydrological inputs are needed for improved accuracy in yield predictions.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2021)

Article Agriculture, Multidisciplinary

Machine learning for large-scale crop yield forecasting

Dilli Paudel et al.

Summary: Many studies have applied machine learning to crop yield prediction with a focus on specific case studies, while large-scale operational systems like MCYFS do not use this method. By combining agronomic principles with machine learning, a baseline for large-scale crop yield forecasting was built in this research, emphasizing correctness, modularity, and reusability. The baseline showed comparable performance to MCYFS in early season predictions but has room for improvement with the addition of new data sources and predictive features.

AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS (2021)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Insight from CMIP6 SSP-RCP scenarios for future drought characteristics in China

Buda Su et al.

Summary: This study analyzes future drought characteristics over China using four climate models from CMIP6 under seven different scenarios, compared with CMIP5 models to highlight improvements in drought identification. The results show that CMIP6 has a robust capability in capturing historical drought characteristics, with projections of continuous drought in certain regions in the future, and an increase in drought frequency and intensity with higher emissions. The reduced biases in drought characteristics in CMIP6 models are likely associated with improvements in representing physical processes, providing valuable information for drought adaptation measures in China.

ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH (2021)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Temperature dataset of CMIP6 models over China: evaluation, trend and uncertainty

Qinglong You et al.

Summary: This study investigates the projected surface mean temperature changes over China and its four sub-regions using data from 20 models of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). It shows that China is expected to experience increasing temperatures, with accelerated warming in Northwestern China and the Tibetan Plateau. The main sources of uncertainty for future temperature projections in China are identified as model and scenario uncertainty, particularly in regions with the largest cold bias.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2021)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Plausible changes in wheat-growing periods and grain yield in China triggered by future climate change under multiple scenarios and periods

Yujie Liu et al.

Summary: Climate change significantly affects wheat yield by influencing wheat phenology, with potential reductions expected in both spring and winter wheat yields under different future climate scenarios. The study highlights the importance of developing heat-tolerant varieties with high calorie requirements as an adaptive strategy to mitigate the negative impact of climate change on wheat yield in the study areas.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2021)

Article Green & Sustainable Science & Technology

Prediction of Future Natural Suitable Areas for Rice under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)

Peng Su et al.

Summary: Suitable areas for rice cultivation will continue to be concentrated in current major production areas, with a decrease in subtropics but an increase in tropics and high-latitude regions. Overall distribution patterns are expected to remain relatively unchanged, with a decrease in suitable areas in the short term and an increase in the medium term.

SUSTAINABILITY (2021)

Article Agronomy

Modeling the current land suitability and future dynamics of global soybean cultivation under climate change scenarios

Lu Feng et al.

Summary: Using a MaxEnt model, the study examined the current global potential cultivation areas of soybean and its future dynamics in response to climate change. It found that most of the current global soybean distribution is in areas with medium to high land suitability, and there are still potential undeveloped suitable areas worldwide.

FIELD CROPS RESEARCH (2021)

Article Agriculture, Multidisciplinary

Modeling climatically suitable areas for soybean and their shifts across China

Jiongchao Zhao et al.

Summary: This study investigates the spatial distribution and shifts in climatically suitable areas for soybean in China from 1961 to 2017, as well as the consistency between climatic suitability and actual production. It was found that while climatic suitability for soybean has increased overall in the past decades, the consistency with actual production has decreased over time, posing a risk to soybean production in certain regions of China.

AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS (2021)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

An interaction regression model for crop yield prediction

Javad Ansarifar et al.

Summary: The new crop yield prediction model utilizes optimization, machine learning, and agronomic insight to accurately predict crop yield and provide explanatory insights, allowing for quantitative analysis of factors affecting crop yield.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2021)

Review Environmental Sciences

The central trend in crop yields under climate change in China: A systematic review

Yuan Liu et al.

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2020)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Climate adaptation by crop migration

Lindsey L. Sloat et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2020)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Socio-ecological factors determine crop performance in agricultural systems

Libere Nkurunziza et al.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2020)

Article Green & Sustainable Science & Technology

Spatiotemporal Trends and Attribution of Drought across China from 1901-2100

Yongxia Ding et al.

SUSTAINABILITY (2020)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Version 4 of the CRU TS monthly high-resolution gridded multivariate climate dataset

Ian Harris et al.

SCIENTIFIC DATA (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

What Is the Consensus from Multiple Conclusions of Future Crop Yield Changes Affected by Climate Change in China?

Chengfang Huang et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Future changes in precipitation characteristics in China

Shuang-Ye Wu et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2019)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Deep learning and process understanding for data-driven Earth system science

Markus Reichstein et al.

NATURE (2019)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

The global tree restoration potential

Jean-Francois Bastin et al.

SCIENCE (2019)

Article Environmental Sciences

The potential global distribution and dynamics of wheat under multiple climate change scenarios

Yaojie Yue et al.

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2019)

Article Environmental Sciences

Climate change and geographic shifts in rice production in China

Hongfei Wang et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

1 km monthly temperature and precipitation dataset for China from 1901 to 2017

Shouzhang Peng et al.

EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE DATA (2019)

Article Environmental Sciences

Climate change impacts on regional rice production in China

Zunfu Lv et al.

CLIMATIC CHANGE (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Average Amount and Stability of Available Agro-Climate Resources in the Main Maize Cropping Regions in China during 1981-2010

Jin Zhao et al.

JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

WorldClim 2: new 1-km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas

Stephen E. Fick et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2017)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change

Pablo Imbach et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2017)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Northward expansion of paddy rice in northeastern Asia during 2000-2014

J. Dong et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2016)

Article Environmental Sciences

Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods

Bing Liu et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2016)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization

Veronika Eyring et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2016)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A multi-model analysis of change in potential yield of major crops in China under climate change

Y. Yin et al.

EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS (2015)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

A CMIP5 multimodel projection of future temperature, precipitation, and climatological drought in China

Lin Wang et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2014)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison

Cynthia Rosenzweig et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2014)

Article Agronomy

Identifying climatic limitations to grain maize yield potentials using a suitability evaluation approach

A. Holzkamper et al.

AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY (2013)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Implications of accounting for land use in simulations of ecosystem carbon cycling in Africa

M. Lindeskog et al.

EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS (2013)

Article Chemistry, Applied

Shifts in comparative advantages for maize, oat and wheat cropping under climate change in Europe

L. Elsgaard et al.

FOOD ADDITIVES AND CONTAMINANTS PART A-CHEMISTRY ANALYSIS CONTROL EXPOSURE & RISK ASSESSMENT (2012)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980

David B. Lobell et al.

SCIENCE (2011)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Twentieth-century surface air temperature over China and the globe simulated by coupled climate models

Tianjun Zhou et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2006)