4.8 Article

Material Flow Analysis of Dysprosium in the United States

Journal

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Volume 57, Issue 45, Pages 17256-17265

Publisher

AMER CHEMICAL SOC
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.3c07496

Keywords

material flow analysis; substance flow analysis; rare earth; dysprosium; bottom-up

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Dysprosium (Dy) is increasingly being adopted in clean energy products, arousing interest in its availability. However, limited data on Dy supplies and demands across products and countries hinders a comprehensive understanding. To address this, a material flow analysis was conducted for the United States (1987-2018), revealing a significant import dependency due to a large imbalance between domestic supplies and market demands. Import reliance was highest for alloys and lowest for concentrates and chemicals. This import dependency may be attributed to supply chain fragmentation and stricter environmental regulations.
Dysprosium (Dy) is increasingly being adopted in various clean energy products around the world, intriguing many nations' interests in its availability. However, since data are inaccessible, crucial information about Dy supplies and demands across products and countries remains incomplete. To fill these knowledge gaps, we performed a dynamic bottom-up material flow analysis of Dy, taking the United States (1987-2018) as a case. The results show that the United States (US) domestic demands experienced a growing trend (by 45-fold) with fluctuation and several shifts among applications, primarily owing to technological advancement. A large imbalance (80 times) exists between domestic mineral supplies and market demands, resulting in significant import dependency, with the net import reliance of alloys, chemicals, finished products, and concentrates being 97, 44, 40, and 31%, respectively. Dy is mainly imported as finished products (55.7%) and alloys (43.2%), with concentrates (0.4%) and chemicals (0.7%) accounting for less than 2%. This import dependency may result from fragmentation of the US supply chains because of the stricter environmental regulations on upstream industries and reshoring of the downstream industries. These findings suggest that rare-earth mineral production in the US is about to restart, and it is important for industries to seek international collaboration to boost product competition.

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